Go to the list of all blogs
Rick Pendergraft's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 14, 2020

A Direct Link Between the Returns of Retailers and the Type of Stores They Operate

So far the year 2020 has been one of extremes for retailers. Some companies are doing great and we have seen a great number of bankruptcies as well. Since the COVID-19 pandemic started we have seen some stores do well and others have floundered.

One item that has been a major factor seems to be whether the company has a strong online presence or not. But I found a direct link between the gains in the stocks and what type of stores the company operates.

Looking at the Tickeron Screener and the scorecard for nine different retailers, we see the one-year returns for the stocks have varied greatly. All nine of these companies will report earnings during the week of August 17 through 21 and that’s the reason I have grouped them together. We see home improvement retailers Lowes (LOW) and Home Depot (HD) are in the top spot and the third place spot with gains of 69.7% and 43.3%, respectively. Target (TGT) is in the number two spot with a gain of 68.8%.

At the bottom of the list we see Kohl’s (KSS) with a decline of 47.1%. The second worst performance has been from Nordstrom (JWN) with a drop of 33.7% and Foot Locker (FL) is down 19.3%.

If we look at the stores at the top of the list, sure two of them are home improvement retailers, but the top four all operate as stand-alone stores. They aren’t in strip malls or traditional malls—they have standalone buildings. Now look at the bottom five. Foot Locker and Nordstrom stores are typically found in traditional malls. Kohl’s, Ross Stores (ROST), and TJX Companies (TJX) all typically have their stores in strip malls or in smaller shopping centers where they are considered an anchor store.

I thought this was a fascinating development and I think it is more than just a coincidence. Yes, the stocks at the top of the list also seem to have pretty strong online operations, but so does Kohl’s. What I really think is going on with the stocks is that they reflect the trend that has been going on for a number of years where the big, enclosed, traditional shopping malls are struggling. We have seen Neiman Marcus, Lord & Taylor, JC Penney, and Brooks Brothers declare bankruptcy. Just this week Stein Mart became the latest retailer to file for bankruptcy.

Many of the companies that have declared bankruptcy in the retail space serve as anchor stores for traditional malls or for strip malls. Many of these stores were struggling before the pandemic. The economic shutdowns that have taken place didn’t cause their troubles, but the shutdowns did accelerate their demise.

Unfortunately there is likely to be a snowball effect as the anchor stores leave, the smaller retailers will struggle as well and it will likely lead to more bankruptcies.

Getting back to the upcoming earnings reports and the image from the Tickeron Screener, the group as a whole has a short-term positive outlook. There are three “strong buy” ratings, five “buy” ratings, and only one “sell” rating (Foot Locker). The overall fundamental ratings aren’t nearly as bad as I would have expected. All nine stocks have more bullish indicators than bearish indicators and that was shocking to me.

The two biggest areas of concern are in the Valuation Rating and the Profit vs. Risk Ratings. Each of those categories shows three stocks with bearish signals in that column.

The technical picture is even stronger than the fundamental picture. There are only six bearish signals across the whole board and three of those are for Foot Locker—thus the “sell” rating on the scorecard.

The AROON Indicators and the MACD Indicators are both showing a number of bullish signals for the group.

Continuing with the standalone concept versus the mall and shopping center stores, the EPS estimates for the coming reports seem to follow my line of thinking. We see Lowes and Home Depot are expected to see earnings growth while Target and Wal Mart are expected to see small declines in earnings, but remain profitable.

Four of the five mall and shopping center oriented companies are expected to lose money in the quarter and all five reported profits in the same period last year. Foot Locker is the exception again as it is expected to earn $0.25, but that is considerably lower than the $0.66 the company earned last year.

Related Ticker: LOW

Momentum Indicator for LOW turns positive, indicating new upward trend

LOW saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on February 06, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 82 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LOW just turned positive on February 02, 2024. Looking at past instances where LOW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

LOW moved above its 50-day moving average on January 30, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LOW advanced for three days, in of 362 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 339 cases where LOW Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 18 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LOW declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

LOW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 28, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (8.981). P/E Ratio (18.233) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.375). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.326) is also within normal values, averaging (2.960). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.627) is also within normal values, averaging (84.135).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. LOW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO), Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), RH (NYSE:RH), GameStop Corp (NYSE:GME).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 7.72B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48 to 378.81B. HD holds the highest valuation in this group at 378.81B. The lowest valued company is CALI at 48.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 31%, and the average quarterly price growth was 40%. GHST experienced the highest price growth at 87%, while WINH experienced the biggest fall at -44%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 22% and the average quarterly volume growth was 49%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
LOWDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
Show more...
Ad is loading...
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company, which engages in the retail sale of home improvement products

Industry SpecialtyStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Home Improvement Chains
Address
1000 Lowes Boulevard
Phone
+1 704 758-1000
Employees
307000
Web
https://www.lowes.com
Interesting Tickers
1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
1 Day
STOCK / NAMEPrice $Chg $Chg %
ARLO10.410.45
+4.52%
Arlo Technologies
ASUR9.330.36
+4.01%
Asure Software
NSP101.791.50
+1.50%
Insperity
VMC265.853.55
+1.35%
Vulcan Materials Company(Holding Company)
LSTA2.93-0.23
-7.26%
Lisata Therapeutics

LOW and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LOW has been closely correlated with HD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LOW jumps, then HD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To LOW
1D Price
Change %
LOW100%
+0.78%
HD - LOW
82%
Closely correlated
+0.79%
FND - LOW
65%
Loosely correlated
-1.74%
CPRT - LOW
58%
Loosely correlated
+0.11%
TSCO - LOW
55%
Loosely correlated
+0.58%
ABG - LOW
52%
Loosely correlated
+0.26%
More
Ad is loading...
Master swing trading in trending markets with our beginner-focused guides. Achieve +61% annualized returns when markets trend down, and +48% when they rise. Dive into the robotic theme, seeing a 1-week change of +2.91%. Featured stocks: $CGNX, $IRBT, $ISRG, $ROK, $ZBRA. Start trading smartly now!
#artificial_intelligence#up_greenish#trading#technical_analysis
Discover swing trading for beginners, focused on markets trending upward with both TA&FA. After a +0.63% 3-day boost in MU, historical data shows a promising future: in 210 out of 302 instances, MU's price climbed within the next month. With a 70% probability of sustained growth, now's the time to consider MU.
#artificial_intelligence#up_greenish#trading#technical_analysis
One such example is the "Swing trader: Deep Trend Analysis v.2 (TA)" AI trading bot, which has recently showcased its prowess by generating a remarkable +6.27% gain while trading RIVN over the course of the previous week. In this article, we delve into the details of this achievement and analyze the potential impact of the prevailing bearish signals on RIVN's performance.
The Building Products industry has recently surged with an impressive performance increase of +7.71% over the past month. This article delves into the dynamics of this sector, spotlighting its notable tickers and analyzing key trends.
Dive into the dynamic world of insurance agency stocks with our latest blog post! 🚀 Witness the remarkable 18.35% gain that has sent stocks like $AON, $EBIX, $GSHD, $MMC, and $AJG soaring in the insurance sector over the past 6 months. Discover the strategic insights behind this impressive growth and understand how these changes have shaped the industry landscape. From market cap dynamics to high and low price fluctuations, volume trends, and fundamental analysis ratings, we've got you covered. Uncover the factors driving this surge and gain valuable insights into the strategies that could potentially lead to further success. Whether you're a seasoned investor or new to the market, this blog will provide you with an expert analysis of these insurance agency stocks and their potential for continued growth. Don't miss out on the excitement – read now to stay ahead of the investment game! 📊📈
#latest#artificial_intelligence#neutral_bluish#technical_analysis#asset_allocation#trading
Attention traders! Data Storage (DTST) is on a significant uptrend. In just a week, DTST stock has surged by an eye-catching 13.79%. With its recent positive shift in the MACD histogram and an earnings report beating market expectations, this stock is showing strong bullish indicators. In an industry dominated by tech giants, DTST's promising performance stands out. If you're looking for potential growth opportunities in the Information Technology Services Industry, DTST might be worth your attention. Dive into our in-depth analysis to understand why DTST could be the next stock to add to your portfolio.
#latest#popular#patterns#artificial_intelligence#neutral_bluish#technical_analysis#trading
In the dynamic realm of the contract drilling industry, recent market shifts have left their mark on notable players. Transocean Ltd ($RIG), Diamond Offshore Drilling ($DO), Patterson-UTI Energy ($PTEN), Noble ($NE), and PDS Energy ($PDS) find themselves facing collective losses, shedding light on the industry's evolving landscape. As this group grapples with a -4.22% downturn in the past week, our exploration delves into the intricacies of their market capitalizations, high and low price fluctuations, volume trends, and fundamental analysis ratings. Discover how these significant tickers are navigating challenges and learn how market dynamics are shaping their trajectories. Join us as we uncover insights from the contract drilling sector and gain a deeper understanding of the forces at play in this ever-changing market.
#latest#popular#artificial_intelligence#trading#technical_analysis
🚨 Market Alert! 🚨 Stay tuned for more updates, and as always, invest wisely! 💡 In a week marked by notable shifts, Target (TGT, $121.79) experienced a significant downturn, plummeting by -7.18%. But what's causing this dip amidst the broader Discount Stores Industry landscape? Of the 16 monitored stocks from 8/18/2023 to 8/25/2023, a staggering 88.89% were on a downtrend. However, it's not all gloom for Target. Their recent earnings report showcased an EPS of $1.80, surpassing the forecasted $1.47. Additionally, dividend enthusiasts have a silver lining with a forthcoming dividend of $1.10 per share. As giants like Walmart and Costco continue to dominate the market, where does Target's recent performance fit within the bigger picture of discount retailers? Dive deep into our comprehensive analysis to gain insights into Target's current position, industry trends, and what this could mean for future investments. 📊🔍🛍️
#latest#popular#artificial_intelligence#trading#technical_analysis
The 'fish' category primarily encompasses sellers of fish. Many companies within this sector also venture into the production and sale of poultry, frozen meat, and even dairy products. Notable entities in this domain include Lifeway Foods, Inc., Sanderson Farms, Inc., and Hormel Foods Corp.
#artificial_intelligence#investment
The recent performance of the Trend Trader's Popular Stocks: Price Action Trading Strategy (TA&FA) robots has caught the attention of market enthusiasts. These automated trading bots, often referred to as "bot factories," have demonstrated their prowess by generating a notable gain of +5.81% while trading AMTX over the course of the previous week. This achievement becomes even more intriguing when considering the downward trend that AMTX has been experiencing recently.
We're pleased to introduce the Best Robot of the Week by Tickeron—a remarkable achievement in the realm of trading. This week, our robot has once again outperformed the S&P 500 index. Additionally, over the past month, it has outperformed the index for three out of four weeks. This pattern reinforces the dependability and stability of the signals, aligning perfectly with Tickeron's quant team objectives.
The Electronics Distributors industry has recently showcased a remarkable performance surge of +6.01% over the past month, signifying a period of growth and potential for investors. This article delves into the positive outlook and potential opportunities within this dynamic industry, focusing on key tickers and indicators that underscore its current trajectory.
The Dow and S&P have both declined by 3.4% and 4%, respectively, since the beginning of the month, while the Nasdaq has experienced a loss of approximately 5.3%. The airline industry stocks have been hit the hardest, with some stocks seeing declines of over 20%. Signals for these stocks can be obtained by subscribing to one of our robots Swing-Trader-700-per-position-Hedge-Fund-Style-Trading-TA-FA.
The Metabolic Sector Biotechnology companies that produce drugs to treat gastrointestinal and metabolism disorders are classified under the 'metabolic' category. These disorders often encompass obesity, which can potentially lead to severe diseases such as cardiovascular ones
#artificial_intelligence#investment
Discover the impressive 6.17% gain within the Human Capital sector as we delve into the performance of key tickers like $PAYC, $RHI, $EFX, $PRFT, and $AMN. Uncover market insights, potential trends, and the factors driving this substantial growth in the dynamic world of human resources and staffing solutions.
🚦DWS Strategic Municipal Income Trust (KSM) sees a 0.93% drawdown amid shifting indicators. With RSI hinting at a potential uptrend, what's next for KSM? Dive into our analysis for key insights!📊"
#latest#popular#artificial_intelligence#trading#technical_analysis
Over the past month, all markets have experienced a significant correction. Banking sector stocks have declined by approximately 10% and appear to be underperforming the market. If you're an investor or trader looking for more detailed signals on these stocks, our robots can provide you with information to make more informed decisions. Learn more about our active trading robots here: Swing-Trader-1-5K-per-position-Medium-Volatility-Stocks-for-Active-Trading-TA-FA. Market volatility creates opportunities, and the right tools can help you take advantage of the current situation.
The latest triumph comes from the "Swing trader: Deep Trend Analysis (TA)" AI trading bots, which have earned the moniker of "bot factories" due to their impressive performance. These bots recently executed a remarkable feat by generating a substantial gain of +6.28% while trading SAVA over the past week. This success story underscores the growing role of AI in shaping the landscape of modern trading.
Discover how Apple, Cisco Systems, QUALCOMM, Booking Holdings, and Humana are driving the solid names group to a remarkable +2.72% gain. Delve into the market dynamics and explore the factors behind this impressive growth.
#trading#latest#popular#artificial_intelligence#neutral_bluish#asset_allocation
Facing one of its steepest drops, FinVolution Group (FINV) recorded a -10.31% fall this month. What's next for this finance giant amidst industry shifts? Dive into our analysis to explore the factors behind this significant decline. 📉🔍
#latest#popular#artificial_intelligence#trading#technical_analysis#asset_allocation