A double-bottom for Texas Instruments (TXN) along with a bullish signal ahead of earnings
Chip stocks got beaten up pretty good in the last few weeks of March, but they bounced back on March 29 and again on April 1. One chip stock in particular that jumped out at me was Texas Instruments (Nasdaq: TXN) as the chart looks like the stock has formed a double-bottom pattern, it has strong fundamentals, and it got a bullish signal from Tickeron on March 29.
We see on the chart how the stock dropped to $103.35 on March 8 and then on March 28, it dropped to $103.63. Between the two lows, the stock rallied up to $112.98 and for the pattern to be confirmed, the stock will need to move above that level.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool produced the bullish signal on March 29 and that prediction showed a confidence level of 83%. The prediction calls for a gain of at least 4% in the next month. Previous predictions on Texas Instruments have been accurate 57% of the time.
Over the past three years, Texas Instruments has seen its earnings grow by an average of 9% per year. In the last quarterly report, they grew by 16%. Sales have also averaged an annual growth of 9% for the last three years, but they were down 1% in the last quarterly report.
The company’s management efficiency measurements are really strong with a return on equity of 55.6% and a profit margin of 40.6%.
Texas Instruments is set to report earnings again on April 22 and analysts expect the company to earn $1.13 per share and that would mark a drop of 16.3% on a year over year basis.
Momentum Indicator for TXN turns positive, indicating new upward trend
TXN saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on April 24, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 104 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 104 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 53 cases where TXN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TXN just turned positive on April 24, 2024. Looking at past instances where TXN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TXN moved above its 50-day moving average on April 24, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TXN advanced for three days, in of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TXN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for TXN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 19, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TXN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TXN entered a downward trend on April 17, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.398) is normal, around the industry mean (6.522). P/E Ratio (27.298) is within average values for comparable stocks, (116.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.231) is also within normal values, averaging (2.602). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.560) is also within normal values, averaging (34.985).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 63, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TXN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a manufacturer of integrated circuit semiconductors and calculators
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