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May 16, 2022
A.I. Stock Market Predictions: Head & Shoulders

A.I. Stock Market Predictions: Head & Shoulders

Statistics for the Head-and-Shoulders Bottom Pattern

The days where only hedge funds used algorithms to trade stocks are officially over.

Now retail investors can use Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) to find patterns in the markets and to make trades based on ideas generated by algorithms. If the A.I. discovers a pattern and makes a prediction on where the price of a stock is headed, the investor could potentially capitalize (if the A.I. is correct).  

Here’s an example of the algorithm in action:

Late last year, Tickeron’s A.I. discovered a Head-and-Shoulders Bottom Pattern for a stock that everyone knows: Facebook (FB). As you can see in the chart above, the algorithm scanned Facebook’s price movements last summer and followed the price as it formed a Head-and-shoulders Bottom pattern from late August through October 7. The pattern is marked by points 1 through 5. Once FB hit the “Breakout” price of $172.19, Tickeron’s A.I. predicted the price would hit $181.51. If you were a subscriber to this pattern on Tickeron.com, you would have received the A.I.’s prediction right in your inbox! Then it would have been up to you to make a trade based on the predicted target price.

A subscription to Tickeron’s Pattern Search Engine would have also given you access to a Head-and-Shoulders Bottom Pattern for a blockbuster stock that many retail investors own already: Apple Inc. (AAPL). The A.I. would have told you that the breakout price for the stock was $161.02 and that it expected the stock to jump to $172.64.

In just a few days, Apple’s stock did just that, marked by “Success” on the chart below:

How Effective is Tickeron’s A.I.?

Any reasonable investor or trader would say, “Ok, this looks great on paper. But how effective is Tickeron’s A.I. at making these predictions? Where are the statistics?”

See below. In instances where the A.I. was more than 20% confident that the price of the stock would move at least 5% higher to its target price, the A.I. was right more than 58% of the time. That’s a solid metric.

Another solid metric? When Tickeron’s A.I. was right, the average return on the trade was +12.05%:

Statistics for the Head-and-Shoulder (Bullish) Pattern

Ready to Start Trading?

The Head-and-Shoulders (Bullish) pattern is formed when a stock price creates a trough (point 3) with two inverted “shoulders” (1, 5). The pattern is formed when a stock is testing new lows on a downtrend. After reaching the lowest low (the Head, 3) the next low is shallower and the trend reverses course to the upside.

This type of formation happens when investors create a minimum support level for a stock price, and ultimately trading consolidates into an uptrend.  

To trade the pattern, an investor has to watch out for the Breakout Price, which Tickeron’s A.I. will do for you. Once the stock price breaks out from the top pattern boundary (the neckline), day traders and swing traders might consider buying the stock or a call option — hopefully riding it up to the target price.

If pattern trading is new to you, perhaps a great way to get started is through a free trial of Tickeron’s Pattern Search Engine. For 45 days, you can see how the algorithm works and how you can potentially use it to make smarter trades.

For experienced investors still not using algorithms to help you trade, what are you waiting for?! Get started today on tickeron.com.

 

Related Ticker: AAPL

AAPL in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on June 25, 2026

AAPL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 27 cases where AAPL's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AAPL's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAPL advanced for three days, in of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 282 cases where AAPL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 25, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AAPL as a result. In of 66 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AAPL turned negative on June 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

AAPL moved below its 50-day moving average on June 25, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAPL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AAPL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AAPL's P/B Ratio (40.984) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.089). P/E Ratio (35.958) is within average values for comparable stocks, (130.461). AAPL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.400) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.428). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (2.597) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.766) is also within normal values, averaging (3.356).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), GoPro (NASDAQ:GPRO).

Industry description

Computer peripherals connect to a computer system to add functionality or to get information from or put information into computers. Think hard disk drive, data storage systems, cloud storage devices, printer and scanner, or mouse, keyboard etc. Some of the major companies operating in the computer peripherals industry include Western Digital Corporation, Seagate Technology PLC, NetApp, Inc., Zebra Technologies Corporation, and Xerox Holdings Corp.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Computer Peripherals Industry is 225.82B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.2K to 4.17T. AAPL holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.17T. The lowest valued company is DPSM at 1.2K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Computer Peripherals Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -20%, and the average quarterly price growth was -33%. BOXL experienced the highest price growth at 23%, while GMEX experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Computer Peripherals Industry was 160%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 312% and the average quarterly volume growth was 851%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 72
SMR Rating: 86
Profit Risk Rating: 95
Seasonality Score: 22 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of mobile communication, media devices, personal computers, and portable digital music players

Industry ComputerPeripherals

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Telecommunications Equipment
Address
One Apple Park Way
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+1 408 996-1010
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166000
Web
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