Go to the list of all blogs
Harry Richardson's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 14, 2020
A Number of Packaged Software Firms Saw Insiders Sell Shares in the Last Few Days

A Number of Packaged Software Firms Saw Insiders Sell Shares in the Last Few Days

Insider selling and buying is an indicator that probably doesn’t get as much attention as it deserves. It can be a little difficult to keep track of and sometimes the trading is done at specified times due to required holding periods.

One thing is certain though, it can be concerning when you see insider selling at a number of different firms within the same sector. This is exactly what has occurred in the last week with the packaged software industry. Seven different companies from the industry saw significant insider selling over the past week. The dollar amounts of the transactions varied from $1.6 million to as much as $79.7 million.

The group as a whole does very poorly on the Tickeron Scorecard with six of the seven stocks earnings “sell” or “strong sell” ratings. The only stock that scores very well is Intuit (INTU) and it gets a “strong buy” rating. Everbridge (EVBG) is the only one that got a “strong sell” rating, but the other five stocks all earned “sell” ratings.

Looking at both the fundamental and technical screeners, the issues seem to be on both sides of the equation. On the fundamental side, only Intuit has more bullish signals than bearish signals. The company has three bullish and no bearish signals. Conversely, four of the other companies have one bullish signal and two don’t have any bullish signals. If you exclude Intuit, the other six companies have a combined four bullish signals and 22 bearish signals.

The technical picture is a little better, but not by much. Again Intuit is the best of the bunch with three bullish signals and only one bearish signal. Health Catalyst (HCAT) is the only other company with a bullish skew. The company has four bullish signals and two bearish signals. The collective totals of the other five companies are eight bullish signals and 23 bearish signals.

If we look at particular indicators, there are a couple on both the fundamental side and on the technical side that seem to be an issue. On the fundamental side, the Profit Vs. Risk ratings for six of the seven stocks are at 100—the worst possible rating. The only one that scores well? You guessed it, Intuit. The same can be said for the P/E Growth Rating. Six of the seven stocks score a 100 while Intuit has a neutral score.

The technical indicators, as we saw with the overall scores, aren’t as bad as the fundamental indicators. The RSI indicators are concerning with six of the seven stocks generating bearish signals in the last three weeks and five of them coming in the past week. Health Catalyst is the only bullish signal from its RSI and that came eight days ago. The stochastic indicators are somewhat concerning with four bearish signals in the past week and no signals for the other three stocks.

One area that I expected to be an issue was the valuation ratings. From their lows in March, a number of these stocks have seen huge gains, even bigger than some of the other tech stocks. For instance, Livongo Health (LVGO) was up over 500% from March 18 through September 2—before the selling hit the market last week. CrowdStrike (CRWD) and Bill.com Holdings (BILL) both gained around 250% during this same time period. Slack (WORK) gained 86%, Health Catalyst gained 67%, and Intuit gained 58%. Everbridge was the biggest laggard of the bunch during this time period and it still gained 30%.

Since the selling started last Thursday, these stocks have gotten hit pretty hard and the insiders that sold last week are looking pretty good with their timely sales. Again, insider selling isn’t always as simple as the person deciding the price is right and it’s time to sell some of their stake, but when we see widespread selling in an industry, it is usually a pretty bearish sign.

Related Ticker: INTU

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


INTU in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on July 27, 2026

INTU moved above its 50-day moving average on July 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 55 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for INTU crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INTU advanced for three days, in of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 201 cases where INTU Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

INTU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.149) is normal, around the industry mean (28.672). P/E Ratio (21.717) is within average values for comparable stocks, (79.190). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.928) is also within normal values, averaging (1.753). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.046) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.617) is also within normal values, averaging (70.832).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INTU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INTU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.58B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 252.39B. SAP holds the highest valuation in this group at 252.39B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. AIXI experienced the highest price growth at 81%, while LGCL experienced the biggest fall at -82%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -13% and the average quarterly volume growth was 85%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
INTU
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
Last 5 trading days
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of software products for businesses

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
2700 Coast Avenue
Phone
+1 650 944-6000
Employees
18200
Web
https://www.intuit.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
ERII shares have remained resilient, trading near $15.47 ahead of Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings scheduled for February 25, 2026. Q3 2025 results exceeded expectations, with revenue of $32 million and EPS of $0.07, despite year-over-year declines tied to project timing.
Liberty Broadband Corporation (LBRDA) has experienced pronounced swings in recent weeks, touching multiyear lows before staging a sharp recovery. The stock continues to trade within a wide 52-week range, closely tied to the value of its Charter Communications stake and investor expectations around the proposed merger.
Arm Holdings (ARM) shares have demonstrated resilience in recent sessions, rebounding after an initial earnings-related pullback and stabilizing near technical support levels. While smartphone-related headwinds tied to memory shortages pressured sentiment, momentum in AI-driven data center royalties helped restore confidence.
Shell plc (SHEL) reported Q4 2025 adjusted earnings of $3.3 billion, below expectations due to weaker oil prices and non-cash tax charges. Full-year adjusted earnings reached $18.5 billion, supported by strong LNG and upstream operations. A 4% dividend increase to $0.372 per share and a new $3.5 billion buyback program reinforce capital return commitments.
Linde (LIN) reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $4.20, topping estimates, with full-year revenue reaching $34 billion. 2026 EPS guidance of $17.40–$17.90 implies 6–9% growth, supported by a record $10 billion project backlog.
ConocoPhillips (COP) reported Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.02, missing estimates due to weaker oil prices. Full-year adjusted earnings totaled $7.7 billion, with $19.9 billion in operating cash flow. Shares have gained more than 10% in recent weeks, supported by analyst upgrades and sector momentum.
Verisk Analytics (VRSK) delivered Q4 2025 revenue of $779 million, up 5.9% year over year, with adjusted EPS of $1.82, beating expectations. Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) reported Q3 FY2026 revenue of $2.62 billion, down 10.2% year over year, but adjusted diluted EPS climbed 14% to $1.77, well above estimates.
(OMC) Omnicom’s fourth-quarter report, released February 18, 2026, marked its first earnings update incorporating results from Interpublic Group (IPG), acquired on November 26, 2025. The combination created the world’s largest marketing services firm by revenue, a significant milestone as the advertising industry consolidates and adapts to digital transformation.
Copart (CPRT) is set to report fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on February 19, 2026, after market close. Consensus calls for EPS of $0.39–$0.40 and revenue of $1.15–$1.18 billion. Global Payments (GPN) posted Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $3.18, in line with expectations, and adjusted net revenue of $2.32 billion, up 6% in constant currency (excluding dispositions). Thomson Reuters (TRI) delivered Q4 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.07 and revenue of $2.01 billion, up 5% year over year, supported by recurring subscription growth.
Unilever PLC (UL) leads year-to-date performance with a 12.61% gain, ahead of Diageo plc (DEO) at 9.90% and Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) at 4.27%. DEO offers the highest dividend yield at 4.35%, compared with KDP (3.16%) and UL (2.97%). All three stocks carry low betas—DEO (0.18), UL (0.24), and KDP (0.35)—highlighting their defensive characteristics.
Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results: Revenue of $333M and adjusted EBITDA of $50M (15% margin), exceeding analyst expectations. FY2026 Guidance Raised: Adjusted EBITDA now projected at $225M, with revenue reaffirmed near $1.5B. EV Backlog Growth: 855 electric buses worth $277M, highlighting robust demand supported by EPA clean bus funding.
IBM fell over 10% today mainly because a new AI tool from Anthropic is seen as a direct threat to IBM’s lucrative COBOL modernization and consulting business, triggering worries that key legacy‑modernization revenue will be automated away.
Today’s drop is mainly about competitive positioning and future growth expectations, not an immediate collapse of current Wegovy/Ozempic sales, but it signals that Novo may not have the strongest next‑wave obesity drug versus Eli Lilly, which is why the stock sold off so sharply.
RNG (RingCentral) dropped over 12% today mainly as a sharp pullback after a very steep recent run‑up driven by upbeat Q4 results, guidance, and capital‑return news, with profit‑taking amplified by valuation concerns and a weak broader tech tap
Fundamentally, the latest public guidance is still for rapid growth and profitability, but today’s drop reflects a reset of sentiment and valuation rather than a brand‑new deterioration in those targets. For investors, the key question is whether the current price appropriately reflects execution risk, competition in diagnostics, and macro volatility after the guidance‑driven rally and subsequent reversal.
TNC (Tennant Company) is down more than 25% today because it reported a very large earnings and revenue miss for Q4 2025, blamed on serious ERP rollout problems and weaker demand, and guided to a slower‑than‑hoped recovery in 2026.
XMTR (Xometry) is down more than 21% today because, despite reporting record growth and an earnings beat, the company announced a CEO transition and investors used the news to take profits after a big prior run‑up, with heavy short interest amplifying the drop.
EDSA (Edesa Biotech) is up more than 21% today largely on speculative trading in a very illiquid penny stock with no clear, company‑specific news catalyst, likely driven by technical factors, retail flows, and short‑term trading rather than fundamentals.
Q4 2025 revenue came in strong at about 214–215 million, up mid‑30s percent year over year and a few percent above estimates, but GAAP EPS was only 0.08 versus expectations around 0.31, a roughly 70–75% miss and down from 0.13 a year earlier.
Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) has rebounded with ~12% YTD gains and 50%+ one-year returns, supported by margin improvements and strong skincare/fragrance demand despite broader prestige beauty challenges.