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published in Blogs
Mar 15, 2019
Adobe (ADBE, $267.69) beats Q1 estimates, but shows weaker-than-expected guidance for Q2

Adobe (ADBE, $267.69) beats Q1 estimates, but shows weaker-than-expected guidance for Q2

Adobe Inc. surpassed earnings and revenue estimates for the fiscal first quarter. Its projection for the second quarter, however, falls short of analysts' expectations.

For the three months ended March 1, Adobe reported earnings of $1.71 per share, exceeding analysts’ estimates of $1.62 per share (based on FactSet poll of analysts). The computer software company’s revenue for the quarter came in at a record-high $2.6 billion, topping analysts’ expectations of $2.55 billion .

President and CEO Shantanu Narayen mentioned strong momentum in Adobe’s Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and Experience Cloud businesses as significant contributors to Q1 results.

However, Adobe’s guidance for the current quarter (ending June) fell below analysts’ forecasts. Adobe is expecting revenue of $2.7 billion on earnings of $1.77 per share, compared to analysts’ expectation of $2.72 billion on earnings of $1.88 per share.

For the full-year 2019, the company predicts revenue of $11.15 billion and earnings per share of $7.80 per share - in line with Wall Street consensus. 

 

Related Ticker: ADBE

ADBE's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADBE turned positive on February 24, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADBE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ADBE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 03, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADBE as a result. In of 74 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADBE advanced for three days, in of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADBE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ADBE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ADBE entered a downward trend on March 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADBE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.569) is normal, around the industry mean (10.732). P/E Ratio (16.227) is within average values for comparable stocks, (73.752). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.767) is also within normal values, averaging (1.890). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.869) is also within normal values, averaging (53.528).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADBE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Zoom Communications Inc (NASDAQ:ZM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 6.5B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 228.82B. SAPGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 228.82B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 36%. NMYSF experienced the highest price growth at 260%, while QH experienced the biggest fall at -91%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 72%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was 27%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 78
Price Growth Rating: 70
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 95
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. ADBE showed earnings on December 10, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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Industry PackagedSoftware

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