In the fast-paced world of AI-driven trading, the utilization of sophisticated algorithms and technical analysis tools is becoming increasingly prevalent. One notable example is the Trend Trader, Popular Stocks: Price Action Trading Strategy (TA&FA), which demonstrated its prowess by generating a commendable +5.02% gain while trading NVDA over the past week. Let's delve into the technical indicators and earnings results to gain a comprehensive understanding of NVDA's current market standing.
Aroon Indicator Signals Bullish Momentum:
One crucial indicator that caught the attention of traders is the Aroon Indicator for NVDA. Triggering a bullish signal on January 19, 2024, Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a favorable setup. The AroonUp green line surging above 70 while the AroonDown red line remained below 30 signifies potential bullish momentum. In historical instances with a similar Aroon Indicator pattern, the stock moved higher in 86% of cases, according to A.I.dvisor's analysis of 367 occurrences. This provides traders with valuable insights, suggesting a high probability of an upward move.
Earnings Triumph and Market Capitalization:
The last earnings report on November 21 showcased NVDA's financial strength, reporting earnings per share of $4.02, surpassing the estimate of $3.36. With a total of 21.37 million shares outstanding, NVDA's current market capitalization stands at a formidable $1.12 trillion. This places NVDA at the pinnacle of the Semiconductors Industry in terms of valuation, surpassing other companies with a significant margin.
Market Cap Comparative Analysis:
Comparing NVDA's market capitalization within the Semiconductors Industry reveals its dominance. With an average market capitalization of $31.22 billion in the industry, NVDA's valuation of $1.12 trillion underscores its market leadership. In contrast, the lowest-valued company in the industry, CYBL, lags significantly behind with a market capitalization of only $13.43 thousand.
Price Movements and Industry Trends:
Examining price movements within the Semiconductors Industry provides a broader context. While the average weekly, monthly, and quarterly price growth across all stocks in the industry were -2%, -1%, and 2%, respectively, NVDA's resilience is evident. Notably, LEDS experienced the highest price growth at 27%, while NA encountered the steepest fall at -26%. NVDA's ability to weather market fluctuations positions it favorably in the semiconductor landscape.
Volume Dynamics:
Analyzing volume trends further enhances our understanding. Despite the average weekly volume growth across all Semiconductors Industry stocks being -24%, NVDA's performance stands out. While the average monthly volume growth in the industry was 28%, NVDA remained robust. The average quarterly volume growth of -31% in the industry contrasts with NVDA's ability to maintain stability.
In summary, the combination of favorable technical indicators, strong earnings, and market dominance cements NVDA's position as a noteworthy player in the semiconductor market. Traders and investors alike may find valuable opportunities by closely monitoring NVDA's future movements and the broader industry trends.
NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 34 cases where NVDA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 372 cases where NVDA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where NVDA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 27, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on January 27, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
NVDA moved below its 50-day moving average on January 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 10, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (47.847) is slightly higher than the industry average of (11.380). P/E Ratio (50.924) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.115). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.924) is also within normal values, averaging (3.150). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.021). P/S Ratio (28.329) is also within normal values, averaging (51.980).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software
Industry Semiconductors