As artificial intelligence (AI) reshapes the trading landscape, the magnitude of success it can usher in is truly phenomenal. Illustrating this is the recent triumph of our AI Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA), which generated an incredible 119.2% return for Hovnanian Enterprises (HOV) over the past year.
Peeling Back the Layers of the Homebuilding Industry's Market Cap
HOV is a prominent player in the Homebuilding Industry, which has an average market capitalization of $5.25B. Within this sector, market caps span a vast range, from as low as 91.68K to an imposing 41.06B. In this playing field, D.R. Horton (DHI) leads the pack with the highest valuation of 41.06B, while ASCK brings up the rear with a modest valuation of just 91.68K.
Deciphering Price Trends: The Rise and Fall
The Homebuilding Industry experienced an average weekly price growth of 1%, a trend our AI trading strategy successfully navigated to reap impressive profits. The industry also registered an average monthly price growth of 6%, and a quarterly growth of 31%. Amongst this movement, BLWYF achieved the highest price growth at 46%, while PSMMY faced the steepest descent at -11%.
Assessing Volume Growth across the Industry
Even though the average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry saw a dip of -19%, the monthly and quarterly volume growth figures present a more promising picture. The industry experienced a notable monthly volume growth of 68% and a staggering quarterly volume growth of 237%.
The AI Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) has demonstrated its prowess in the Homebuilding Industry, producing an outstanding 119.2% return for HOV in just one year. By analyzing intricate market capitalization, price, and volume trends, it has showcased the pivotal role AI can play in the development of future trading strategies. This success story, framed in numbers, provides an inspiring preview of the exciting advancements AI promises for the future of trading.
The 10-day moving average for HOV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 08, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HOV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 16, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HOV as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HOV just turned positive on October 16, 2024. Looking at past instances where HOV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
HOV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 18, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HOV advanced for three days, in of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 50, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HOV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.002) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (5.630) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). HOV has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.044). P/S Ratio (0.371) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a constructor of single-family detached homes, attached town homes and condominiums
Industry Homebuilding