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AI Predicts a Bearish Trend for Incyte Corp: A Potential 4% Monthly Decline Ahead

Momentum Indicator for INCY turns positive, indicating new upward trend

INCY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on January 02, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 103 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 103 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for INCY just turned positive on January 02, 2025. Looking at past instances where INCY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 37 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where INCY advanced for three days, in of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

INCY moved below its 50-day moving average on January 08, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for INCY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 18, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where INCY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

INCY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. INCY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.371) is normal, around the industry mean (15.212). INCY has a moderately high P/E Ratio (799.222) as compared to the industry average of (87.972). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.630) is also within normal values, averaging (1.839). INCY has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.013). P/S Ratio (3.802) is also within normal values, averaging (258.672).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. INCY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.