AIG (AIG, $40.77) Could Have Incurred Up To $800 Million Catastrophe Losses
American International Group (AIG) is set back by an estimated $750 million to $800 million in catastrophe losses so far during the 2018 fourth quarter (excluding December), as revealed by CEO Brian Duperreault.
Duperreault also indicated that Wildfires in California, net of reinsurance, will add between $150 million and $175 million to the insurance company's net pretax losses for the fourth quarter. He also mentioned AIG's Life and Retirement unit's earnings will decline for the second half of 2019, owing partly to investment in new business and "growth initiatives”.
However, AIG expects to generate an overall 8% adjusted return on equity going into 2019, in part due to a slight underwriting profit in its general insurance unit - according to Duperreault. Furthermore, the company hopes to achieve double-digit adjusted return on equity in three years' time.
AIG sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
On June 08, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for AIG moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 52 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AIG as a result. In of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AIG just turned positive on June 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where AIG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AIG advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
AIG moved below its 50-day moving average on May 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AIG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AIG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for AIG entered a downward trend on June 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.988) is normal, around the industry mean (1.634). P/E Ratio (13.261) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.411). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.616) is also within normal values, averaging (1.016). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.574) is also within normal values, averaging (1.769).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AIG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a global insurance company, which provides property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, mortgage insurance and other financial services
Industry MultiLineInsurance
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