AIG (AIG, $40.77) Could Have Incurred Up To $800 Million Catastrophe Losses
American International Group (AIG) is set back by an estimated $750 million to $800 million in catastrophe losses so far during the 2018 fourth quarter (excluding December), as revealed by CEO Brian Duperreault.
Duperreault also indicated that Wildfires in California, net of reinsurance, will add between $150 million and $175 million to the insurance company's net pretax losses for the fourth quarter. He also mentioned AIG's Life and Retirement unit's earnings will decline for the second half of 2019, owing partly to investment in new business and "growth initiatives”.
However, AIG expects to generate an overall 8% adjusted return on equity going into 2019, in part due to a slight underwriting profit in its general insurance unit - according to Duperreault. Furthermore, the company hopes to achieve double-digit adjusted return on equity in three years' time.
AIG in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on March 12, 2026
AIG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 36 cases where AIG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 10-day moving average for AIG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AIG advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 323 cases where AIG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AIG moved out of overbought territory on March 03, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AIG as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AIG turned negative on March 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
AIG moved below its 50-day moving average on March 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AIG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 45, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.001) is normal, around the industry mean (2.034). P/E Ratio (14.133) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.047). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.218) is also within normal values, averaging (2.311). AIG has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.023) as compared to the industry average of (0.045). P/S Ratio (1.635) is also within normal values, averaging (1.533).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AIG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a global insurance company, which provides property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, mortgage insurance and other financial services
Industry MultiLineInsurance
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