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Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 03, 2023

ALCO's Impressive Earnings Surge: What Investors Need to Know

ALCO is poised to release its earnings report on May 4th, and the numbers are expected to be impressive. The company is projected to report a 115% increase in earnings, up to 13 cents per share. This comes after the last earnings report on December 31 showed a disappointing -84 cents per share, missing estimates of -29 cents. This article will delve into the key indicators and trends surrounding ALCO's financial performance, offering insights for investors.

Key Financial Ratios:

  1. Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: At 0.744, ALCO's P/B ratio is significantly below the industry mean of 16.935, suggesting that the stock may be undervalued compared to its peers.

  2. Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: The company's P/E ratio of 16.694 is within average values for comparable stocks (33.662), indicating that the stock is reasonably priced in relation to its earnings.

  3. Projected Growth (PEG Ratio): ALCO's PEG ratio stands at 0.000, which is also within normal values, averaging 48.405.

  4. Dividend Yield: The dividend yield of 0.047 is close to the average of 0.050 among similar stocks, suggesting that ALCO's dividend payments are in line with industry norms.

  5. Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio: With a P/S ratio of 2.048, ALCO's valuation is within normal values, averaging 13.231.

Market Capitalization: With 30.90K shares outstanding, ALCO's current market capitalization stands at $180.03 million, reflecting the market's valuation of the company.

Technical Analysis: RSI Oscillator Indicates Potential Uptrend On March 27, 2023, ALCO's RSI Oscillator moved out of oversold territory, potentially signaling a shift from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders might consider buying the stock or call options based on this indicator. A.I.dvisor's analysis of 25 similar instances when the RSI Oscillator left oversold territory found that in 18 of the 25 cases, the stock moved higher. This suggests a 72% probability of a move upward in the stock's price.

As ALCO prepares to release its earnings report on May 4th, investors should keep a close eye on the company's financial performance. With an expected 115% increase in earnings per share, ALCO's financials demonstrate a significant improvement from the previous report. Key financial ratios and the RSI Oscillator's movement out of oversold territory also indicate that the stock may be poised for growth. While no investment is without risk, the analysis presented in this article suggests that ALCO's stock may offer potential upside for investors.

Related Ticker: ALCO

ALCO in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on June 02, 2023

The 10-day moving average for ALCO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 02, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 68 cases where ALCO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 22, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ALCO as a result. In of 102 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ALCO just turned positive on May 18, 2023. Looking at past instances where ALCO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ALCO moved above its 50-day moving average on June 02, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALCO advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ALCO moved out of overbought territory on May 24, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALCO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ALCO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 22, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ALCO entered a downward trend on May 22, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.791) is normal, around the industry mean (14.320). P/E Ratio (16.694) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.887). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (52.324). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.122) is also within normal values, averaging (12.501).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ALCO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALCO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE:ADM), Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN), Cal-Maine Foods (NASDAQ:CALM).

Industry description

The Agricultural Commodities/Milling industry includes companies that are involved in farming activities, such as crop production, livestock management and animal feed, for commercial purposes. The industry includes a wide range of operations from growing corn, to grain and oilseed processing to the operation of flour mills. Changes in consumer tastes is one of the critical factors influencing what products are grown and raised in this industry. Potential risks to the business include climate change and fluctuations in global prices of agricultural products. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Elanco Animal Health, Inc., Bunge Limited and Canopy Growth Corporation are some of the biggest U.S. companies operating in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry is 2.54B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 11.97K to 39.2B. ADM holds the highest valuation in this group at 39.2B. The lowest valued company is CFPI at 11.97K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10%. GSFD experienced the highest price growth at 74%, while AGRI experienced the biggest fall at -50%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry was -39%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -39% and the average quarterly volume growth was -69%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 75
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which engages in citrus production, sugarcane production and cattle ranching

Industry AgriculturalCommoditiesMilling

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Agricultural Commodities Or Milling
Address
10070 Daniels Interstate Court
Phone
+1 239 226-2000
Employees
206
Web
https://www.alicoinc.com
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ALCO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALCO has been loosely correlated with AGRO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 36% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALCO jumps, then AGRO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ALCO
1D Price
Change %
ALCO100%
+3.93%
AGRO - ALCO
36%
Loosely correlated
+4.34%
ADM - ALCO
34%
Loosely correlated
+1.57%
TSN - ALCO
33%
Loosely correlated
-0.14%
BG - ALCO
29%
Poorly correlated
+0.75%
DOLE - ALCO
28%
Poorly correlated
+1.03%
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