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published in Blogs
Jun 25, 2023

ALGN(+6.32%) vs PAYC(+6.58%): A Comprehensive Comparison for Swing Traders

Comparing ALGN and PAYC: A Deep Dive into Volatility, Price Growth, and Earnings Reports
Compare: Swing Trader for Beginners: Exits from Low Volatility to Explosive Movements (TA&FA) 6.32% for ALGN vs Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Up (TA&FA) 6.58% for PAYC

A Brief Overview of Swing Trading Strategies

To start, let's briefly touch on the Swing Trading strategies referenced for ALGN and PAYC. The Swing Trader for Beginners: Exits from Low Volatility to Explosive Movements (TA&FA) strategy delivered a return of 6.32% for ALGN, while the Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Up (TA&FA) approach gave a return of 6.58% for PAYC. Though these strategies have unique characteristics, both apply technical and fundamental analysis (TA&FA) to navigate market volatility and trends.

The Exits from Low Volatility to Explosive Movements strategy typically involves trading stocks that exhibit periods of low volatility followed by large price movements, whereas Trading in Markets Trending Up strategy generally capitalizes on securities in an upward market trend.

Weekly Price Growth: ALGN vs. PAYC

For the week, ALGN, which operates in the Medical Specialties industry, enjoyed a price increase of 2.56%. In contrast, PAYC, part of the Packaged Software industry, experienced a price drop of 2.34%.

When comparing these numbers to their respective industries, ALGN performed much stronger than its peers with an average weekly price drop of 0.89% in the Medical Specialties sector. PAYC, on the other hand, outperformed its industry, where the average weekly price drop was 1.07%.

Monthly and Quarterly Price Growth: An Industry Perspective

Taking a wider lens, the average monthly and quarterly price growth in the Medical Specialties industry (home to ALGN) was -0.37% and +7.41%, respectively. For the Packaged Software sector (home to PAYC), these figures were +3.70% and a robust +23.99%. The Packaged Software industry, hence, appears to have experienced higher growth over the more extended periods, underlining the importance of considering industry performance when comparing individual stocks.

Upcoming Earnings Reports

As for future expectations, both companies are due to report earnings soon. ALGN is set to announce its earnings on July 26, 2023, while PAYC is expected to report on August 1, 2023. These reports could potentially influence stock prices and should be closely monitored by investors.

In conclusion, while both ALGN and PAYC offer attractive opportunities for swing trading, they do so in distinct market contexts. Traders and investors should bear in mind these differences when devising their strategies and keep a keen eye on the upcoming earnings reports. The ongoing performance of these two companies reaffirms the importance of not only examining individual stocks but also the industries within which they operate.

Related Ticker: ALGN

ALGN's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for ALGN moved out of oversold territory on September 28, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 30 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 14 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALGN advanced for three days, in of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ALGN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 07, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALGN as a result. In of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALGN turned negative on September 07, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ALGN moved below its 50-day moving average on September 07, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ALGN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 13, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 8 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALGN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALGN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.345) is normal, around the industry mean (24.903). P/E Ratio (74.074) is within average values for comparable stocks, (79.136). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.869) is also within normal values, averaging (6.212). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.250) is also within normal values, averaging (58.113).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALGN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:ABT), Medtronic plc (NYSE:MDT), Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ:ISRG), Boston Scientific Corp (NYSE:BSX), Edwards Lifesciences Corp (NYSE:EW), IQVIA Holdings (NYSE:IQV), Align Technology (NASDAQ:ALGN), Illumina (NASDAQ:ILMN), Exact Sciences Corp (NASDAQ:EXAS), Guardant Health (NASDAQ:GH).

Industry description

Medical specialties are companies that make equipment used by the health care industry. Equipment manufactured and distributed by these companies include dialysis machines, blood analysis equipment, surgical equipment, dental instruments, and diagnostic tools, among other items. Large companies typically aim to produce and distribute high-quality products across a broad market spectrum. Smaller firms are more likely to specialize in a particular market segment. Due to the industry’s close association with medical treatments, they typically have low sensitivity to macroeconomic fluctuations. Within this industry, Abbott Laboratories, Medtronic Plc and Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. are some of the companies with multi-billion market capitalizations in the U.S. stock markets.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Medical Specialties Industry is 6.31B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 27 to 3.82T. MKYSF holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.82T. The lowest valued company is FOGCF at 27.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Medical Specialties Industry was 4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7%. XWEL experienced the highest price growth at 1,184%, while RHNMF experienced the biggest fall at -54%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Medical Specialties Industry was 29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 1% and the average quarterly volume growth was 49%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 71
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 84
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -20 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of the invisalign system for treating malocclusion

Industry MedicalSpecialties

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Medical Specialties
Address
410 North Scottsdale Road
Phone
+1 602 742-2000
Employees
23165
Web
https://www.aligntech.com
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ALGN and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALGN has been loosely correlated with IDXX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALGN jumps, then IDXX could also see price increases.

1D
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NAME
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To ALGN
1D Price
Change %
ALGN100%
+1.93%
IDXX - ALGN
56%
Loosely correlated
+0.03%
XRAY - ALGN
55%
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+0.47%
DHR - ALGN
54%
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COO - ALGN
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