Alibaba plummets as Chinese regulators bear down

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BABA as a result. In 61 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The 10-day moving average for BABA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BABA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

BABA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for BABA entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BABA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 43 of 59 cases where BABA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BABA just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where BABA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Following a +2.71% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BABA advanced for three days, in 183 of 258 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 57 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.731) is normal, around the industry mean (56.916). P/E Ratio (24.602) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.255). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.505) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.660) is also within normal values, averaging (1.321).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BABA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BABA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.