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May 03, 2023

ALL is expected to report earnings to rise+32% to -93 cents per share on May 03

On May 3, ALL is expected to report earnings that are 32% higher than the previous quarter, with earnings per share expected to be -93 cents. This is a significant improvement from the previous quarter's earnings of -136 cents per share, which missed the estimated earnings of -102 cents per share. As a technical analyst, it is important to look beyond just the earnings report and analyze the company's financial ratios and technical indicators to gain a better understanding of the company's performance.

Firstly, let's take a look at the price-to-book (P/B) ratio, which compares the company's market value to its book value. ALL's P/B ratio of 1.967 is around the industry mean of 1.911, indicating that the stock is trading at a fair value relative to its book value.

Next, the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio compares the company's current stock price to its earnings per share. ALL's P/E ratio of 40.000 is within average values for comparable stocks, which have an average P/E ratio of 104.447. This indicates that investors are willing to pay a reasonable price for the company's earnings.

The projected growth (PEG) ratio is a metric that combines the P/E ratio with the company's expected growth rate. A PEG ratio of 1 or below is considered healthy, while a ratio above 1 may indicate an overvalued stock. ALL's PEG ratio of 3.439 is within normal values, averaging 2.249, indicating that the stock is not overvalued relative to its expected growth rate.

Another important metric to consider is the dividend yield, which measures the company's annual dividend payment as a percentage of its stock price. ALL's dividend yield of 0.030 settles around the average of 0.044 among similar stocks, indicating that the company is paying a reasonable dividend relative to its stock price.

Finally, the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio compares the company's stock price to its revenue per share. ALL's P/S ratio of 0.611 is also within normal values, averaging 1.337, indicating that the stock is trading at a fair value relative to its revenue.

Looking at the technical indicators, we can see that ALL's MACD Histogram crossed above the signal line on March 30, 2023, indicating a bullish trend. Examining past instances where ALL's MACD turned positive, we can see that the stock continued to rise in 36 of 49 cases over the following month. This gives us a 73% chance of a continued upward trend.

While ALL's previous earnings report missed estimates, the company's financial ratios and technical indicators suggest that the stock is trading at fair values and has the potential for a continued upward trend. As always, it is important to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions.

Related Ticker: ALL

ALL in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on March 25, 2024

ALL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 25, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 43 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ALL moved out of overbought territory on April 08, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 09, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALL as a result. In of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALL turned negative on April 09, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALL advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 321 cases where ALL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.879) is normal, around the industry mean (2.145). P/E Ratio (40.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.140). ALL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.439) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.023). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.793) is also within normal values, averaging (1.404).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Industry description

Property and casualty companies insure against accidents of non-physical harm, such as lawsuits, damage to personal assets, car crashes and more. Progressive Corporation, Travelers Companies, Inc. and Allstate Corporation are some of the biggest providers of such products.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry is 14.35B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 93.9K to 121.13B. PGR holds the highest valuation in this group at 121.13B. The lowest valued company is UNAM at 93.9K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 27%. GBLI experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while TILCF experienced the biggest fall at -32%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Property/Casualty Insurance Industry was 20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -67% and the average quarterly volume growth was 6%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 81
SMR Rating: 87
Profit Risk Rating: 59
Seasonality Score: -8 (-100 ... +100)
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ALLDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
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published General Information

General Information

a provider of the provision of personal property and casualty insurance, life insurance, and retirement and investment products

Industry PropertyCasualtyInsurance

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Property Or Casualty Insurance
Address
3100 Sanders Road
Phone
+1 847 402-5000
Employees
53400
Web
https://www.allstate.com
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