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Dec 09, 2023

Allergic Aces Soar: $DBVT, $XNCR, $VRNA, $ALLK Show Remarkable +13.72% Weekly Performance Surge

Robots for this group tickers :
Swing Trader, Long Only: Growth Model (FA) - 30-day Annualized Return +20%
Trend Trader, Long Only with Inverse: Advanced Growth Model (FA) - 30-day Annualized Return +12%

In the dynamic world of finance, where trends shift like the wind, a distinctive group of stocks has recently caught the attention of investors — the Allergic companies. Comprising DBVT, XNCR, VRNA, and ALLK, this group has exhibited a remarkable +13.72% surge in performance over the past week, making it a subject of interest and speculation in financial circles.

Positive Outlook and Technical Indicators

The positive outlook for these stocks is substantiated by the MA50MA10 Indicator, which indicates a favorable trajectory. Tickeron, a reliable financial analysis tool, reinforces this positivity, predicting a further increase of over 4.00% within the next month with a 40% likelihood. The daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes over the last month was an encouraging 1.68 to 1.

Two stocks within this thematic group showcase a positive trend based on the MA50 indicator with an average likelihood of 84%, highlighting a potential sustained upward movement.

Market Capitalization Overview

The average market capitalization across the group stands at 640.8M, with individual valuations ranging from 157.5M to 1.1B. XNCR leads the pack with a valuation of 1.1B, while ALLK is the lowest valued at 157.5M.

High and Low Price Notables

Weekly price growth across all stocks in the group averaged an impressive 13.09%, demonstrating the theme's robust performance. ALLK took the lead with a substantial 34.46% increase, while VRNA experienced a modest decline of 0.96%. Notably, Verona Pharma (VRNA) faced a setback, declining by -12.24% in the week ending 5/17/23, while DBV Technologies SA (DBVT) soared as a top weekly gainer, rising by +18.59% on 5/12/23.

Volume Dynamics

Despite a weekly average volume decline of -38.78%, the group exhibited positive signs with a monthly average volume growth of 16.98% and a quarterly growth of 126.06%. A standout moment was observed in DBV Technologies SA's stock, with consecutive daily gains reaching record-breaking levels, indicating substantial market interest.

Individual Stock Analysis

  1. DBVT - Seizing an Upward Trend: DBVT broke its lower Bollinger Band on November 14, 2023, suggesting a potential upward movement. Historical data indicates that in 39 of 46 instances where DBVT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, it rose further in the following month, with odds favoring an 85% likelihood. The current price of $0.81, having crossed the support line at $0.75, suggests a potential rebound. Recent trends show a -21% downtrend for the month of 11/06/23 - 12/07/23, but a positive +7% uptrend in the week of 11/30/23 - 12/07/23.

  2. XNCR - Riding the Upward Trend: XNCR's 10-day moving average crossed above the 50-day moving average on November 28, 2023, signaling a bullish trend. Historical data indicates that in 10 of 12 instances where this crossover occurred, the stock continued to move higher over the following month, with odds favoring an 83% likelihood. The current price of $20.25, below the lowest support line at $23.28, presents a potential buying opportunity. Recent trends show a +10% uptrend throughout the month of 11/06/23 - 12/07/23 and a further +10% uptrend during the week of 11/30/23 - 12/07/23.

  3. VRNA - Stochastic Oscillator Signals Potential Upside: VRNA's Stochastic Oscillator moved out of oversold territory on December 04, 2023, indicating a potential bullish signal. Historical data shows that in 56 of 68 instances where the Stochastic Indicator left the oversold zone, the stock moved higher in the following days, with odds favoring over 82%. The current price of $14.62, having crossed the resistance line at $13.00, suggests potential upward movement. Recent trends show a -10% downtrend throughout the month of 11/06/23 - 12/07/23, but a positive +0.96% uptrend in the week of 11/30/23 - 12/07/23.

In summary, the Allergic companies theme presents a compelling case for investors seeking opportunities in a trending sector. With positive indicators and individual stocks exhibiting favorable patterns, this thematic group offers a nuanced landscape for potential gains. Investors are advised to conduct further due diligence and consider their risk tolerance before making investment decisions in this dynamic market.

Related Ticker: DBVT, XNCR, VRNA, ALLK

DBVT's RSI Indicator peaks and leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for DBVT moved out of overbought territory on December 04, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 23 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 13, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DBVT as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DBVT turned negative on December 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

DBVT moved below its 50-day moving average on December 16, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for DBVT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 19, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DBVT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

DBVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 29, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for DBVT entered a downward trend on November 29, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DBVT advanced for three days, in of 207 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.211) is normal, around the industry mean (14.529). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (87.563). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.739). DBVT has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.013). P/S Ratio (75.432) is also within normal values, averaging (255.281).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DBVT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DBVT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT), Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ARWR), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX), Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX), Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (NASDAQ:ADPT), Nektar Therapeutics (NASDAQ:NKTR).

Industry description

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Biotechnology Industry is 2.57B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 151 to 464.4B. NONOF holds the highest valuation in this group at 464.4B. The lowest valued company is MYMX at 151.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. NEVPF experienced the highest price growth at 260%, while CYTOF experienced the biggest fall at -72%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was 172%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 20% and the average quarterly volume growth was 96%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 85
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 94
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 26 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a developer of non invasive epicutaneous diagnostics systems and immunotherapy for allergy diagnostics

Industry Biotechnology

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Biotechnology
Address
177-181 avenue Pierre Brossolette
Phone
+33 155427878
Employees
104
Web
http://www.dbvtechnologies.com
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