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published in Blogs
Mar 15, 2019

Amazon (AMZN, $1,714.83) focuses on physical stores to beat competition

E-commerce giant Amazon is now planning to open more physical grocery stores, a sector currently dominated by the likes of Walmart (WMT).

According to the Wall Street Journal, with the acquisition of Whole Foods Amazon got its first real taste of store-based grocery sales, but Amazon’s grocery models will be starkly different from that of Whole Foods. 

But this move comes with its own set of challenges. Amazon can't evade the costs associated with getting groceries to consumers. Even though the company could remove expenses associated with established physical stores, it’s already a notoriously low-margin business, and Amazon Web Services is the primary source for the company's profits.

Additionally, recent figures suggest that Amazon’s online grocery sales are not remarkably higher than those of Walmart’s physical grocery sales – 12.5% to 11.1% in 2017.

Going ahead with its plans, Amazon will now have to open dozens of relatively smaller brick-and-mortar locations across the country. The first such store is expected to appear in Los Angeles, possibly as soon as the end of this year, and more to follow in 2020. Few other steps include opening 3,000 Amazon Go stores by 2022, closing all 87 in-store pop up locations inside retailer like Kohl’s (KSS), and opening traditional grocery stores by acquiring smaller, local chains among others.

Among these, a more traditional grocery store is probably the best idea as it gives opportunities for Amazon to serve more customers, who'll be further immersed in its Prime loyalty ecosystem. In addition, the vast customer data is has acquired over the years, the physical sales are likely to bear fruits.

Related Ticker: AMZN

Aroon Indicator for AMZN shows an upward move is likely

AMZN's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on April 18, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 289 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 289 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

AMZN moved above its 50-day moving average on May 01, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AMZN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 03, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMZN advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 16, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMZN as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMZN turned negative on May 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMZN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AMZN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. AMZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.873) is normal, around the industry mean (4.214). P/E Ratio (51.737) is within average values for comparable stocks, (92.597). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.030) is also within normal values, averaging (1.487). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.022) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.306) is also within normal values, averaging (10.431).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Just Eat Takeaway.com N.V. (OTC:JTKWY), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 34.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 622 to 1.92T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.92T. The lowest valued company is RBZHF at 622.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 8%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 16%, and the average quarterly price growth was 54%. IPW experienced the highest price growth at 339%, while MI experienced the biggest fall at -25%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 64%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 93% and the average quarterly volume growth was 40%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 84
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 17 (-100 ... +100)
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AMZNDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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General Information

a provider of on-line retail shopping services

Industry InternetRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Internet Retail
Address
410 Terry Avenue North
Phone
+1 206 266-1000
Employees
1525000
Web
https://www.amazon.com
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