Amazon (AMZN, $1,761.33) misses Q3 earnings estimate; but beats revenue expectation
Amazon missed the Street expectations on its third quarter earnings. But top-line figure handily surpassed estimates.
The e-commerce behemoth reported earnings of $4.23 a share, which fell behind analysts’ estimate of $4.62 (based on analysts surveyed by Refinitiv).
However, revenue surged +24% year-over-year to $70 billion, beating analysts’ expectation of $68.8 billion (based on Refinitiv poll).
Amazon Web Services registered revenue of $9 billion in the quarter, compared to $9.1 billion expected by analysts surveyed by FactSet. The segment’s revenues surged +34.7% year over year.
North America revenues (60.9% of sales) climbed +24.1% year-over-year to $42.64 billion. International revenues (26.2% of sales) increased +18% year over year to $18.35 billion.
Tailwinds to Amazon's revenue growth came in the form of strong performance of the company's free one-day delivery service, and expansion of Prime Video content. Also, solid growth in Amazon Web Services (AWS) and smart home products offerings further bolstered the quarter’s top-line numbers.
The company has spent over $800 million in each of the last two quarters to bulk up its free one-day delivery program. It expects to spend $1.5 billion more on the initiative during the fourth quarter to expand its warehouse capabilities and product selection.
Amazon also emphasized on increased spending on its cloud business and on upping the ante on its advertising sales force.
However, the company’s accelerating transportation and fulfillment center costs, and increasing competition in retail and cloud computing spaces could be potential concerns with respect to the bottom-line.
For fourth-quarter 2019, Amazon projects net sales between $80 billion and $86.5 billion, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate is $86.88 billion.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
AMZN in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026
AMZN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 32 of 34 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AMZN as a result. In 60 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMZN just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where AMZN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +3.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMZN advanced for three days, in 228 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for AMZN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMZN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
AMZN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AMZN entered a downward trend on September 18, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 89 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.812) is normal, around the industry mean (56.916). P/E Ratio (19.803) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.255). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.460) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. AMZN's P/S Ratio (3.447) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.321).
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a provider of on-line retail shopping services
Industry InternetRetail
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