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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 20, 2020

Amazon (AMZN, $3,171.90), EBay (EBAY, $58.26) get price target hikes amid pandemic

Jefferies boosted Amazon's price target to $3,800 from $3,100. They raised eBay's price target to $58 from $52, and Etsy’s to $125 from $110. 

Analyst Brent Thill cited continued “elevated top-line growth” for e-commerce through June and into July, as pandemic-induced behavioral changes has permanently increased online consumption. According to Jefferies, Amazon and Etsy "are best positioned” to gain over the  long-term from the behavioral changes.

Also, Goldman analyst Heath Terry hiked Amazon's price target to $3,800 from $3,000, raised EBAY’s to $56 from $49.

"We expect more medium- and long-term outperformance to come from those companies with models that will benefit beyond the immediate crisis in the form of accelerated network effects, weakened competitive sets, and scale benefits to profitability," Terry wrote. 

Tickeron's comparison -- AMZN vs EBAY:

Market capitalization -- EBAY: $40.8B vs. AMZN: $1.5T

Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: EBAY: 55% vs. AMZN: 104%

Brand notoriety: EBAY and AMZN are both notable

EBAY represents the Other Consumer Services, while AMZN is part of the Internet Retail industry

Stock price -- (EBAY: $58.27 vs. AMZN: $3172.40)

Long term analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

EBAY’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while AMZN’s FA Score has 3’s green FA rating(s).

  • EBAY’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
  • AMZN’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators.

EBAY’s TA Score shows that 3 TA rating(s) are bullish while AMZN’s TA Score has 2’s bullish TA rating(s).

  • EBAY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 3 bearish.
  • AMZN’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 4 bearish.

AMZN vs EBAY: Fundamental Ratings:

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

EBAY's Valuation (44) in the Other Consumer Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMZN (96) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that EBAY’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMZN’s over the last 12 months.

AMZN's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Internet Retail industry is in the same range as EBAY (15) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that AMZN’s stock grew similarly to EBAY’s over the last 12 months.

EBAY's SMR Rating (11) in the Other Consumer Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMZN (54) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that EBAY’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMZN’s over the last 12 months.

EBAY's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as AMZN (4) in the Internet Retail industry. This means that EBAY’s stock grew similarly to AMZN’s over the last 12 months.

AMZN's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Internet Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for EBAY (86) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that AMZN’s stock grew significantly faster than EBAY’s over the last 12 months.

 

 

Related Ticker: AMZN

AMZN's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for AMZN entered a downward trend on January 21, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 154 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 154 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMZN moved out of overbought territory on February 05, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 47 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 71 cases where AMZN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMZN as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMZN turned negative on February 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMZN advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AMZN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. AMZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.643) is normal, around the industry mean (4.729). P/E Ratio (42.159) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.153). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.918) is also within normal values, averaging (2.874). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.918) is also within normal values, averaging (5.616).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Just Eat Takeaway.com N.V. (OTC:JTKWY), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 44.15B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 622 to 2.43T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.43T. The lowest valued company is RBZHF at 622.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. KPEA experienced the highest price growth at 39%, while WBUYF experienced the biggest fall at -20%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 4% and the average quarterly volume growth was 21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 61
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: -32 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: E-COMMERCE SECTOR
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General Information

a provider of on-line retail shopping services

Industry InternetRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Internet Retail
Address
410 Terry Avenue North
Phone
+1 206 266-1000
Employees
1525000
Web
https://www.amazon.com
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