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Oct 28, 2022
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Amazon (AMZN, $99.91) misses Q3 revenue expectations; posts lower-than-expected revenue guidance

Amazon (AMZN, $99.91) misses Q3 revenue expectations; posts lower-than-expected revenue guidance

Amazon shares plummeted -11% on Friday, amidst disappointing revenue outlook.

The e-commerce company's third-quarter revenue climbed +14.7% from the year-ago quarter to $127.10 billion, missing analysts' expectations of $127.46 billion (according to Refinitiv).

Earning for the quarter came in at 28 cents per share.

For the fourth quarter, Amazon predicted revenue in the range of $140 billion to $148 billion, well below the Street expectations of $155.15 billion (based on Refinitiv poll). The projection implies a sales growth of 2% to 8% year-on-year, compared to  9% and 38% experienced in the fourth quarters of 2021 and 2020.

Related Ticker: AMZN

Momentum Indicator for AMZN turns positive, indicating new upward trend

AMZN saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 61 of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 78%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMZN just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where AMZN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

AMZN moved above its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AMZN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

Following a +8.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMZN advanced for three days, in 223 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 191 of 253 cases where AMZN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMZN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

AMZN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.070) is normal, around the industry mean (22.398). P/E Ratio (20.563) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.569). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.460) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. AMZN's P/S Ratio (3.447) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.328).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV), Jumia Technologies AG (NYSE:JMIA).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 91.82B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 585 to 2.8T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.8T. The lowest valued company is PIKM at 585.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18%. PTRN experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while MI experienced the biggest fall at -36%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -21% and the average quarterly volume growth was -58%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 46
P/E Growth Rating: 61
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of on-line retail shopping services

Industry InternetRetail

Industry
Internet Retail
Address
410 Terry Avenue North
Phone
+1 206 266-1000
Employees
1576000
Web
https://www.amazon.com
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Amazon (AMZN, $99.91) misses Q3 revenue expectations; posts lower-than-expected revenue guidance