Amazon (AMZN, $99.91) misses Q3 revenue expectations; posts lower-than-expected revenue guidance
Amazon shares plummeted -11% on Friday, amidst disappointing revenue outlook.
The e-commerce company's third-quarter revenue climbed +14.7% from the year-ago quarter to $127.10 billion, missing analysts' expectations of $127.46 billion (according to Refinitiv).
Earning for the quarter came in at 28 cents per share.
For the fourth quarter, Amazon predicted revenue in the range of $140 billion to $148 billion, well below the Street expectations of $155.15 billion (based on Refinitiv poll). The projection implies a sales growth of 2% to 8% year-on-year, compared to 9% and 38% experienced in the fourth quarters of 2021 and 2020.
Momentum Indicator for AMZN turns positive, indicating new upward trend
AMZN saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 09, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 80 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMZN just turned positive on May 10, 2023. Looking at past instances where AMZN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMZN advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 259 cases where AMZN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMZN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AMZN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 10, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. AMZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.150) is normal, around the industry mean (18.853). AMZN's P/E Ratio (294.118) is considerably higher than the industry average of (73.410). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.360) is also within normal values, averaging (2.599). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.393) is also within normal values, averaging (8.443).
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of on-line retail shopping services
Industry InternetRetail
AMZN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMZN has been loosely correlated with EBAY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMZN jumps, then EBAY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMZN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | 100% | +1.82% | ||
| EBAY - AMZN | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.69% | ||
| JMIA - AMZN | 63% Loosely correlated | +3.94% | ||
| MELI - AMZN | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.54% | ||
| W - AMZN | 61% Loosely correlated | +6.67% | ||
| ETSY - AMZN | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.16% | ||
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