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Nov 22, 2018
Amazon (AMZN) Outperforms Walmart (WMT) Ahead of Holiday Season

Amazon (AMZN) Outperforms Walmart (WMT) Ahead of Holiday Season

Baird Equity Research recently surveyed 670 online shoppers, and the results revealed that Amazon was solidly the preferred online shopping destination -- with nearly 60% preferring Amazon over Walmart.

Context is important here, however, as Amazon is newly facing big challenges as both Walmart and Target started investing aggressively to enhance their e-commerce presence and services. In previous years, this level of competition was less of a threat.

Perhaps acknowledging the competition, Amazon gave up little ground -- in order to woo its customers, it started offering deep discounts and delivery conveniences, in a concerted effort to stay fresh on the minds of online shoppers when it comes to holiday shopping.

According to the Baird report, in terms of actual sales Amazon accounted for nearly 39.1% of the overall gross merchandise volume in 2018, while Walmart accounted for a little more than 3% and Target stood at just over 1%.

However, the report also added that Amazon's fourth-quarter growth as a percentage of overall e-commerce increases experienced a dip, as the company's online sales growth fell below 20% for the first time in at least three years. It also indicated that Amazon saw a 20% decline in its share of e-commerce growth, thus standing at just above 50%, down from the 70% range in the recent quarters.

Related Ticker: AMZN

AMZN in +3.09% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on July 15, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where AMZN advanced for three days, in of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

AMZN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 268 cases where AMZN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMZN as a result. In of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMZN turned negative on July 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

AMZN moved below its 50-day moving average on July 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMZN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.650) is normal, around the industry mean (6.229). P/E Ratio (27.764) is within average values for comparable stocks, (41.763). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.246) is also within normal values, averaging (1.223). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.076) among similar stocks. AMZN's P/S Ratio (3.390) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.443).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV), Jumia Technologies AG (NYSE:JMIA).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 84.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 622 to 2.5T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.5T. The lowest valued company is RBZHF at 622.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -25%. OCG experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while IPW experienced the biggest fall at -29%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -16%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -71% and the average quarterly volume growth was -41%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 70
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -10 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of on-line retail shopping services

Industry InternetRetail

Profile
Details
Industry
Internet Retail
Address
410 Terry Avenue North
Phone
+1 206 266-1000
Employees
1576000
Web
https://www.amazon.com
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