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Indra Bhattacharjee's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 05, 2019

Amazon’s (AMZN, $1,818.86) struggles to attract Prime members into Whole Foods

In 2017, Amazon bought Whole Foods for nearly $14 billion in anticipation of turning shoppers into Prime members, along with gaining entry into the $860 billion U.S. grocery industry.

Now the e-commerce giant is struggling to convince its Prime members to shop at Whole Foods, even after offering an extra discount on sale items exclusively for Prime shoppers along with splashy discounts on items like salmon and avocados.

But despite these steps, only 18% of Prime members shop at Whole Foods and 70% Prime members never step into a Whole Foods.

The major reason for this is Whole Foods’ high prices, as cheap natural foods have now gone mainstream and are available at much lower price at rival supermarkets.

Taking the cue from Whole Foods, other grocers like Kroger (KR), Albertsons and Aldi have also expanded their organic aisle but when it comes to price they are generally cheaper than Whole Foods. Kroger's Simple Truth grew 15% last year and is now a $2.3 billion brand. While Aldi, which already has more than 1,800 stores across U.S., plans to expand its fresh food selection by 40%.

Prices of Whole Foods are also ticking back up as analysts report that Whole Foods raised prices from 10 cents to several dollars on hundreds of products and price of a basket of 60 items have gone up 15% than traditional grocery stores in March.

As such, Amazon is likely to lower prices again on hundreds of items at Whole Foods and will double the number of weekly deals for Prime members. Mostly focused on produce, the cuts will be effective starting Wednesday.

 

Related Ticker: AMZN

Momentum Indicator for AMZN turns positive, indicating new upward trend

AMZN saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on February 22, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 78 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 78 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMZN advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 288 cases where AMZN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMZN moved out of overbought territory on February 12, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMZN turned negative on February 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMZN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AMZN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 02, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. AMZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.083) is normal, around the industry mean (17.758). P/E Ratio (60.890) is within average values for comparable stocks, (75.888). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.388) is also within normal values, averaging (3.369). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.224) is also within normal values, averaging (4.214).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Just Eat Takeaway.com NV (OTC:JTKWY), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 33.64B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 30 to 1.83T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.83T. The lowest valued company is YUKA at 30.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. JMIA experienced the highest price growth at 37%, while RDBBF experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -3%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 23% and the average quarterly volume growth was 14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 62
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
AMZNDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of on-line retail shopping services

Industry InternetRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Internet Retail
Address
410 Terry Avenue North
Phone
+1 206 266-1000
Employees
1525000
Web
https://www.amazon.com
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AMZN and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMZN has been loosely correlated with CVNA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMZN jumps, then CVNA could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AMZN
1D Price
Change %
AMZN100%
+1.98%
CVNA - AMZN
48%
Loosely correlated
+0.61%
MELI - AMZN
41%
Loosely correlated
+1.00%
W - AMZN
38%
Loosely correlated
+3.31%
JMIA - AMZN
34%
Loosely correlated
+8.36%
GLBE - AMZN
32%
Poorly correlated
-1.05%
More
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