Amazon’s (AMZN, $1,938.43) digital advertising sales drop 36%, analysts not too alarmed
Amazon’s advertising sales fell 36% for a total of $2.72 billion in the first quarter. On an adjusted basis, the y-o-y growth of this ‘Other’ segment in Q4 2018 stood at 38%, while the same ranged between 51% and 73% in previous quarters last year.
Amazon initially saw good success in its advertising segment and became a major contender to Google and Facebook. But that has faded this year and advertisers are saying that they are now focussing on building strategies and weighing how well Amazon fits into them.
On the other hand, Google (GOOGL) has been dominating the digital advertising ecosystem and has optimized its features, providing high returns for investors. Analysts also believe that the reason for the slash in Amazon’s digital advertising sales could be due to the fact that sellers on the platform may have decided to keep their spend steady, instead of increasing it.
Analysts also believe that opening their eyes to other e-commerce players like Walmart, Target or Kroger could be a part of the advertisers’ strategy of limiting their spend on Amazon.
However, some analysts view 36% drop as not too alarming as Amazon is ramping up its digital advertising capabilities, and future numbers are likely to exceed the Q1 number.
Aroon Indicator for AMZN shows an upward move is likely
AMZN's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on December 26, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 309 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 309 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 59 cases where AMZN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMZN advanced for three days, in of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMZN moved out of overbought territory on December 18, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 47 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMZN as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMZN turned negative on December 19, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMZN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.881) is normal, around the industry mean (4.782). P/E Ratio (46.782) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.592). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.795) is also within normal values, averaging (2.622). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.771) is also within normal values, averaging (5.765).
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of on-line retail shopping services
Industry InternetRetail