AMC (AMC, $13.26) has wider-than-anticipated loss in Q1; shares lose -6%
AMC Entertainment Holdings shares fell -6.3% Thursday, after the movie theatre chain reported wider-than-expected loss for the first-quarter.
The company incurred a net loss of -$1.25 a share for the quarter, which is worse than the -55 cents loss a share that Wall Street analysts had expected. The U.S. industry box office plunged -16.2% to $2.4 billion in the first quarter, with a -14.8% decline in attendance, which AMC indicated as headwinds.
AMC's revenue came in at $1.2 billion, missing the Street estimates of $1.19 billion. It was also -13.2% lower than the year-ago quarter.
Adam Aron, CEO and president of AMC hinted at a potentially challenging comparison from the year-ago period. That’s because, the first quarter saw the movie ‘Black Panther’ emerging as “second highest grossing first quarter of all time", as indicated by Aron.
But the company mentioned that box office momentum picked up at he end of the first quarter, with the April release of 'Avengers: Endgame' - a movie that has generated record blockbuster sales both domestically and internationally, grossing more than $2 billion globally in its first two weeks.
AMC in -1.67% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on October 14, 2024
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where AMC declined for three days, in of 359 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 19, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMC as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMC turned negative on September 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 36 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The Aroon Indicator for AMC entered a downward trend on October 16, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AMC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 19 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMC advanced for three days, in of 244 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
AMC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.952). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (90.982). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.124) is also within normal values, averaging (30.667).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AMC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
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a holding company with interest in movie theatres
Industry MoviesEntertainment