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Jul 04, 2023

$AMD (+46.14%) vs $NVDA(+25.51%): Maximize Profits Swing vs Day Trading Strategies

Striking Performance: Comparing AMD's 46.14% gain versus NVDA's 25.51% gain

Comparing two prominent players in the semiconductor industry, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Nvidia (NVDA), reveals interesting observations on their performances. AMD secured an impressive gain of 46.14%, outpacing NVDA, which posted a 25.51% gain.

These performance figures are set against the backdrop of an industry, which on average, experienced robust growth of 30.10% on a quarterly basis. On a more granular level, the average monthly and weekly growth for the industry was 5.08% and 4.00%, respectively.

Within this weekly timeframe, AMD showcased a notable price change of 3.55%, while NVDA's change was more conservative at 0.22%. This divergence in price change illustrates the varied trajectories of these two semiconductor giants, emphasizing AMD's superior performance in the observed period.

In the context of anticipated earnings reports, AMD is scheduled to announce its earnings on October 31, 2023, while NVDA will reveal its performance earlier, on August 23, 2023. These dates are crucial markers for investors and market watchers, as the company's financial health and strategic initiatives will be highlighted.

Trading Strategies: Swing Trading Sector Rotation versus Day Trading Medium Volatility Stocks

As we observe the remarkable gains of AMD and NVDA, it is also interesting to consider how different trading strategies would play out with these stocks. For instance, employing a Swing Trader's Sector Rotation Strategy versus a Day Trader's strategy of trading Medium Volatility Stocks, both involving Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA).

The Swing Trader's Sector Rotation Strategy aims to capitalize on the broad market shifts from one sector to another, reflecting macroeconomic trends. Considering the robust growth in the semiconductor industry, this strategy would have favored AMD, given its significant gain of 46.14%.

On the other hand, the Day Trader strategy focuses on medium volatility stocks for active trading. Given NVDA's more moderate weekly price change of 0.22%, this strategy might have been suitable for day trading NVDA.

Both AMD and NVDA presented potential opportunities for different trading strategies. However, in terms of absolute gains, AMD emerged as the clear front-runner. As both companies prepare to announce their earnings, investors will be watching closely for the next course of action.

Related Ticker: AMD, NVDA

AMD sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

AMD saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on July 17, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMD moved out of overbought territory on July 15, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where AMD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 17, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMD as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AMD moved below its 50-day moving average on July 17, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AMD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 10, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AMD entered a downward trend on June 28, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMD advanced for three days, in of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 81%.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AMD’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.585) is normal, around the industry mean (7.064). AMD has a moderately high P/E Ratio (231.043) as compared to the industry average of (58.577). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.463) is also within normal values, averaging (3.219). AMD has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.018). P/S Ratio (11.416) is also within normal values, averaging (30.280).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 48.44B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 2.9T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.9T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. AEHR experienced the highest price growth at 34%, while ARRXF experienced the biggest fall at -20%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 48%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 39% and the average quarterly volume growth was -19%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 60
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of integrated circuits for semiconductors

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2485 Augustine Drive
Phone
+1 408 749-4000
Employees
26000
Web
https://www.amd.com
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