Swing Trader: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA) Generates 32.95% for AMD
For those involved in the financial markets, particularly in the trading arena, the sheer value of a robust strategy cannot be overstated. Such a strategy is the sector rotation approach, which, when combined with Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA), has reaped dividends for those investing in Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD). This powerful amalgamation of strategies recently manifested itself, generating a substantial return of 32.95% for AMD.
AMD's current performance suggests an upward trend. The financial charts tell a story of optimism, and from a TA perspective, the company has shown a noteworthy trend. It broke its lower Bollinger Band on June 21, 2023, suggesting that AMD's price may rise even higher.
The Bollinger Bands, used by traders to identify 'overbought' or 'oversold' levels, indicate a likely increase in AMD's price. When a stock's price falls below its lower Bollinger Band, it is often seen as oversold. This provides a potential opportunity for traders to buy the stock or explore call options, betting on the likelihood that the price will rise and revert back toward the mean.
In the case of AMD, there's historical precedence to substantiate this optimism. Out of 36 instances where AMD's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, in 34 cases, its price ascended in the month that followed. This translates into an impressive 90% odds of a continued upward trend.
This effective use of TA, when combined with a deep understanding of AMD's fundamentals, aligns perfectly with the sector rotation strategy. This approach implies that an investor will pivot towards sectors that are poised to perform well and typically involves a shift from one industry sector to another, based on economic indicators and market cycles.
In AMD's case, the sector rotation strategy would involve rotating investments toward the tech sector, where AMD resides. The company's strong performance, coupled with positive TA and FA outcomes, makes a compelling case for investors to consider adding AMD to their portfolio.
As traders and investors, it is always crucial to make informed decisions based on robust strategies and tools. AMD's promising upward trend, underpinned by its breaking of the lower Bollinger Band and backed by historical evidence, highlights the effectiveness of the sector rotation strategy when used in conjunction with TA and FA.
The financial market is a game of odds and probabilities, not certainties. Yet, the current 90% odds of a continued upward trend for AMD are encouraging. This reflects the potential of the sector rotation strategy when properly executed, serving as an invitation for traders to possibly pivot their focus towards the tech sector and specifically, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
The RSI Oscillator for AMD moved out of oversold territory on April 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 25, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AMD as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMD just turned positive on April 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where AMD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
AMD moved above its 50-day moving average on May 02, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AMD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 08, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMD advanced for three days, in of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
AMD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AMD’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.881) is normal, around the industry mean (9.655). P/E Ratio (75.066) is within average values for comparable stocks, (72.838). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.524) is also within normal values, averaging (2.176). AMD has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (6.053) is also within normal values, averaging (54.993).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a manufacturer of integrated circuits for semiconductors
Industry Semiconductors