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Nov 10, 2020

American Airlines (AAL, $12.70) offering 38.5 million shares

American Airlines announced a secondary public offering of 38.5 million shares. Bank of America is the sole underwriter for the offering, and will have a 30-day option to purchase up to 5.775 million additional shares.

This follows the air carrier’s announcement three weeks ago, where it mentioned that  that it will be selling, from time to time, shares of its common stock with an aggregate gross sales price of up to $1 billion. As of Nov. 9, the company had sold 57.86 billion shares of its common stock for a gross sales worth $702 million. 

Related Ticker: AAL

Momentum Indicator for AAL turns positive, indicating new upward trend

AAL saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on February 22, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 90 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAL just turned positive on February 23, 2024. Looking at past instances where AAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AAL moved above its 50-day moving average on January 18, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAL advanced for three days, in of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 25, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (103.907). P/E Ratio (12.504) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.065). AAL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.156) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.690). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.206) is also within normal values, averaging (0.964).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AAL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE:LUV), United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL), American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ:JBLU).

Industry description

Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Airlines Industry is 6.66B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9.36K to 26.84B. DAL holds the highest valuation in this group at 26.84B. The lowest valued company is KLMR at 9.36K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. FNNNF experienced the highest price growth at 50%, while QABSY experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -50%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -73% and the average quarterly volume growth was -39%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 56
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: -51 (-100 ... +100)
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AALDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of air transportation services for passengers and cargo

Industry Airlines

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Airlines
Address
1 Skyview Drive
Phone
+1 682 278-9000
Employees
127900
Web
https://www.americanairlines.in
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AAL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAL has been closely correlated with DAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AAL jumps, then DAL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AAL
1D Price
Change %
AAL100%
-0.66%
DAL - AAL
82%
Closely correlated
-0.74%
UAL - AAL
82%
Closely correlated
+0.55%
LUV - AAL
62%
Loosely correlated
-1.34%
ALK - AAL
61%
Loosely correlated
-1.87%
ULCC - AAL
60%
Loosely correlated
-2.27%
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