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Jun 04, 2020
American Airlines ( AAL, $14.76) will increase July flights

American Airlines ( AAL, $14.76) will increase July flights

American Airlines   said it would increase July flights, with lockdown restrictions gradually easing.  

The air carrier  said that  it planned to fly 55% of its domestic schedule and 20% of international flights in July, compared with last year's capacity. 

In June, the company is operating 25% of its domestic schedule. American flew just 20% in May.

“Our July schedule includes the smallest year-over-year capacity reduction since March", said Vasu Raja, senior vice president of network strategy. Raja mentioned “a slow but steady rise in domestic demand”.

Last week, American Airlines said it planned to cut its management and support staff by about -30%.

AAL in +6.66% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on June 03, 2020

As a Bullish sign, keep an eye on this company's ticker for future growth. Considering data from situations where AAL advanced for three days, in 218 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.

Current price $14.67 crossed the resistance line at $14.24 and is trading between $24.74 support and $14.24 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 05/01/20 - 06/03/20, the price experienced a +11% Uptrend, while the week of 05/27/20 - 06/03/20 shows a -1% Downtrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 26, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 53 of 77 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 69%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 29 of 45 similar backtested cases where AAL's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 40 of 55 cases where AAL's Stochastic indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 73%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 33 of 42 cases where AAL's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 79%.

The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 150 of 229 cases where AAL Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 66%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 75%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.63 to 1.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AAL's P/B Ratio (-1.90) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.57). AAL has a moderately low P/E Ratio (2.63) as compared to the industry average of (10.78). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.30) is also within normal values, averaging (1.63). Dividend Yield (1.39) settles around the average of (1.04) among similar stocks. AAL's P/S Ratio (0.12) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.47).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AAL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Related Ticker: AAL

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Momentum Indicator for AAL turns negative, indicating new downward trend

AAL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 02, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 62 of the 80 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 77%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

AAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AAL entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AAL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 31 of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAL just turned positive on September 14, 2026. Looking at past instances where AAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Following a +5.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAL advanced for three days, in 218 of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 48 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AAL's P/B Ratio (-1.706) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.112). P/E Ratio (43.726) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.433). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.114) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.144) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AAL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL), Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE:LUV), American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ:JBLU).

Industry description

Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Airlines Industry is 10.42B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 384.9K to 1.51T. AZULD holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.51T. The lowest valued company is AIBEF at 384.9K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. AZUL experienced the highest price growth at 9%, while SRFM experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was 20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 10% and the average quarterly volume growth was 8%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 45
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 29 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of air transportation services for passengers and cargo

Industry Airlines

Industry
Airlines
Address
1 Skyview Drive
Phone
+1 682 278-9000
Employees
139100
Web
https://www.aa.com
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