American Airlines (AAL, $33.42) Cuts Unit Revenue Estimate; Shares Drop -7%
On Thursday, American Airlines Group Inc. lowered its estimate for a key revenue metric for the fourth quarter.
It is now expecting its unit revenue – which compares sales to flight capacity - to have grown about 1.5% in the quarter, compared with its earlier estimate of 1.5 - 3.5% increase.
The airline also cut its full-year earnings per share estimate to a range of $4.40 to $4.60, from $4.50 to $5 earlier. Analysts were expecting earnings of $4.62 per share, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.
The news sent American Airlines shares tumbling -7 percent in pre-market trading.
Momentum Indicator for AAL turns positive, indicating new upward trend
AAL saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 26, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 85 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAL just turned positive on June 27, 2025. Looking at past instances where AAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
AAL moved above its 50-day moving average on June 23, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AAL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 30, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAL advanced for three days, in of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
AAL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 58 cases where AAL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for AAL entered a downward trend on June 24, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (2.934). P/E Ratio (11.480) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.379). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.539) is also within normal values, averaging (2.224). AAL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). P/S Ratio (0.153) is also within normal values, averaging (0.640).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AAL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of air transportation services for passengers and cargo
Industry Airlines
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