American Eagle Outfitters (AEO, $16.27) beats Q2 earnings estimates, but lags in same-store sales growth
American Eagle Outfitters raked in stronger-than-expected second quarter earnings. However, the clothing & accessories retailer’s comparable sales growth came in lower than anticipated.
The company’s adjusted earnings for the three months ending on August 3 came in at 39 cents, up from the year-ago quarter’s 34 cents and higher than the Street estimate of 32 cents.
Group revenues increased +8% to $1.04 billion, slightly ahead of analysts’ expectation of $1 billion.
While American Eagle’s same-store sales climbed +2% from last year, the growth rate fell short of Wall Street forecasts of just over 3%. CEO Jay Schottenstein cited under-performance in certain seasonal categories and a delayed start to back-to-school shopping as challenges in the quarter. But he also emphasized on the company’s 18th consecutive quarter of positive consolidated comparable sales growth.
The company's forecast for its third quarter 2019 earnings per share is between 47 cents and 49 cents, which is a lower range compared to Refinitiv forecast of 52 cents per share.
AEO in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on March 05, 2026
AEO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 40 cases where AEO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AEO advanced for three days, in of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AEO as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AEO turned negative on March 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
AEO moved below its 50-day moving average on February 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AEO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AEO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for AEO entered a downward trend on February 17, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.925) is normal, around the industry mean (6.021). P/E Ratio (16.336) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.863). AEO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.222). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.621) is also within normal values, averaging (2.281).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AEO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AEO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an operator of specialty retail stores
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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