American Eagle Outfitters gets a bullish signal with earnings on the horizon
Casually clothing retailer American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO) is scheduled to release earnings results on June 5. Analysts expect the company to earn $0.21 per share for the first quarter and that is down slightly from the $0.23 the company earned last year. Revenues are expected to come in at $854.88 million and that estimate represents an increase of 3.9% from one year ago.
Looking at the weekly chart for American Eagle, the stock has pulled back in recent weeks, but it appears to have a couple of layers of support just below the current price. There is a trend line that connects the low from the third quarter of 2017 and the low from December. The stock is just above that trend line currently.
The 104-week moving average for the stock is just below the trend line and it could act as a secondary layer of support.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction Engine generated a bullish signal for American Eagle on May 20 and the signal showed a confidence level of 85%. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month and 82% of previous predictions on the stock have been successful.
American Eagle has some mixed signals when it comes to fundamental indicators. Earnings have grown at a modest 10% per year over the last three years, but they fell 2% in the fourth quarter. Sales have grown at a rate of 5% per year over the last three years and they were up 1% in the fourth quarter.
Aroon Indicator for AEO shows an upward move is likely
AEO's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 18, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 251 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 251 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AEO as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AEO just turned positive on October 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where AEO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
AEO moved above its 50-day moving average on November 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AEO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 13, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AEO advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where AEO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AEO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AEO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.918) is normal, around the industry mean (6.280). P/E Ratio (17.147) is within average values for comparable stocks, (31.894). AEO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.309). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.614) is also within normal values, averaging (4.797).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AEO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AEO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
an operator of specialty retail stores
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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