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May 08, 2019
American International Group (AIG, $50.30) delivers an estimate-smashing quarter

American International Group (AIG, $50.30) delivers an estimate-smashing quarter

Shares of American International Group surged 7.6% in the after-hours trading Tuesday, after the company reported an adjusted EPS of $1.58 in the first quarter that beat consensus estimates of $1.06 and was also higher than $1.04 in the same quarter a year ago.

The first quarter consolidated net investment for the company stood at $3.9 billion compared to $3.3 billion in the year-ago quarter, reflecting favorable market conditions.

The company’s CEO justified the performance by saying that its underwriting and expense discipline, coupled with improved business mix and reinsurance actions, are the reasons for General Insurance’s achievement. He expects that this performance will be sustained for the rest of the year.

Many analysts have observed that Life and Retirement continue to deliver an adjusted low-mid-ROCE and a two-digit adjusted ROCE for consolidated AIG within three years. Q1 adjusted ROCE came at 11.6% compared to 7.7% in the year-ago quarter, while core adjusted ROCE was 13.4% vs. 8.6% in the same previous quarter.

The company’s book value adjusted per ordinary share of $ 55.47 as of March 31, 2019 fell from $ 56.10 as of March 31, 2018.

Related Ticker: AIG

AIG in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 08, 2026

AIG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 30 of 36 cases where AIG's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 32 of 52 cases where AIG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AIG just turned positive on September 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where AIG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

Following a +1.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AIG advanced for three days, in 197 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AIG as a result. In 59 of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

AIG moved below its 50-day moving average on August 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AIG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AIG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

The Aroon Indicator for AIG entered a downward trend on September 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.970) is normal, around the industry mean (1.689). P/E Ratio (13.746) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.303). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.635) is also within normal values, averaging (0.516). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.555) is also within normal values, averaging (1.806).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AIG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are American International Group (NYSE:AIG).

Industry description

A multi-line insurance contract bundles together exposures to risk and covers them under a single contract. For providers of such policies, the bundle is a potential risk diversification strategy since their exposure gets spread over several factors, which helps them mitigate a financial burden if a catastrophic event were to occur. Other potential benefits include getting more premiums from including more than one type of insurance in a bundle, and getting a competitive edge by procuring multiple insurance contracts with a customer. Examples of companies in this industry are Berkshire Hathaway (which owns several insurance companies), Chubb Limited, American International Group, Inc. and Sun Life Financial Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Multi-Line Insurance Industry is 18.28B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 18.9 to 1.09T. BRK.B holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.09T. The lowest valued company is ESGRP at 18.9.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Multi-Line Insurance Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. XZO experienced the highest price growth at 3%, while PLGO experienced the biggest fall at -6%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Multi-Line Insurance Industry was 53%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 94% and the average quarterly volume growth was 16%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 36
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 57
Seasonality Score: -9 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a global insurance company, which provides property casualty insurance, life insurance, retirement products, mortgage insurance and other financial services

Industry MultiLineInsurance

Profile
Details
Industry
Multi Line Insurance
Address
1271 Avenue of the Americas
Phone
+1 212 770-7000
Employees
22100
Web
https://www.aig.com
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