Analyzing Results: Trader Robot Contributes to MELI's +5.53% Growth Last Week
The "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" bot, which recently demonstrated its prowess by generating a significant gain of +5.53% while trading MELI (MercadoLibre) over the course of the previous week. This article will analyze the recent earning results of MELI and discuss the potential for further upward movement, providing insights for traders and investors alike.
Analyzing Earning Results:
MELI, a prominent e-commerce and fintech company in Latin America, recently released its earnings report on May 03. The report revealed an impressive earnings per share (EPS) of $3.97, surpassing the market estimate of $2.81. This positive earnings surprise is a testament to the company's strong financial performance and reflects its ability to deliver value to shareholders.
Furthermore, with 874.26K shares outstanding, MELI currently boasts a market capitalization of approximately $57.92 billion. This figure highlights the company's significant size and market presence, further reinforcing its position as a key player in the industry.
Technical Analysis and Potential Upside Movement:
When considering the potential for further upward movement in MELI's stock price, technical analysis provides valuable insights. Currently, the stock's price appears to be near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator, suggesting a potential rebound in the near future. Historically, in 28 out of 30 instances where MELI's price broke below the lower Bollinger Band, its price continued to rise in the subsequent month. This pattern indicates a strong likelihood of a continued upward trend, with odds estimated at 90%.
Traders and investors should take note of this historical trend and consider the potential buying opportunities presented by MELI's current price position. Additionally, exploring call options could be a viable strategy for those seeking to leverage the anticipated upward movement and potentially amplify their returns.
The performance of AI trading bots, exemplified by the success of the "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" bot, showcases the increasing role of artificial intelligence in trading. MELI's recent earnings report, surpassing expectations with an impressive EPS of $3.97, indicates the company's strong financial health and market leadership. When considering the technical analysis, the current positioning of MELI's stock price near the lower Bollinger Band suggests the potential for an upward rebound.
Aroon Indicator for MELI shows an upward move is likely
MELI's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 19, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 301 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 301 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
MELI moved above its 50-day moving average on August 25, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MELI advanced for three days, in of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MELI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MELI moved out of overbought territory on September 08, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MELI as a result. In of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MELI turned negative on September 18, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MELI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MELI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (29.499) is normal, around the industry mean (17.276). P/E Ratio (89.286) is within average values for comparable stocks, (73.457). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.095) is also within normal values, averaging (2.322). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.650) is also within normal values, averaging (9.418).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a providesr of internet trading services
Industry InternetRetail
MELI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MELI has been loosely correlated with CVNA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MELI jumps, then CVNA could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MELI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MELI | 100% | -1.21% | ||
| CVNA - MELI | 52% Loosely correlated | -7.98% | ||
| JMIA - MELI | 49% Loosely correlated | -7.14% | ||
| AMZN - MELI | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.70% | ||
| GLBE - MELI | 48% Loosely correlated | +2.14% | ||
| CPNG - MELI | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
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