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Jul 09, 2023

Analyzing Results: Trader Robot Contributes to MELI's +5.53% Growth Last Week

The "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" bot, which recently demonstrated its prowess by generating a significant gain of +5.53% while trading MELI (MercadoLibre) over the course of the previous week. This article will analyze the recent earning results of MELI and discuss the potential for further upward movement, providing insights for traders and investors alike.

Analyzing Earning Results:

MELI, a prominent e-commerce and fintech company in Latin America, recently released its earnings report on May 03. The report revealed an impressive earnings per share (EPS) of $3.97, surpassing the market estimate of $2.81. This positive earnings surprise is a testament to the company's strong financial performance and reflects its ability to deliver value to shareholders.

Furthermore, with 874.26K shares outstanding, MELI currently boasts a market capitalization of approximately $57.92 billion. This figure highlights the company's significant size and market presence, further reinforcing its position as a key player in the industry.

Technical Analysis and Potential Upside Movement:

When considering the potential for further upward movement in MELI's stock price, technical analysis provides valuable insights. Currently, the stock's price appears to be near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator, suggesting a potential rebound in the near future. Historically, in 28 out of 30 instances where MELI's price broke below the lower Bollinger Band, its price continued to rise in the subsequent month. This pattern indicates a strong likelihood of a continued upward trend, with odds estimated at 90%.

Traders and investors should take note of this historical trend and consider the potential buying opportunities presented by MELI's current price position. Additionally, exploring call options could be a viable strategy for those seeking to leverage the anticipated upward movement and potentially amplify their returns.

The performance of AI trading bots, exemplified by the success of the "Swing Trader, Popular Stocks: Short Bias Strategy (TA&FA)" bot, showcases the increasing role of artificial intelligence in trading. MELI's recent earnings report, surpassing expectations with an impressive EPS of $3.97, indicates the company's strong financial health and market leadership. When considering the technical analysis, the current positioning of MELI's stock price near the lower Bollinger Band suggests the potential for an upward rebound.

Related Ticker: MELI

Aroon Indicator for MELI shows an upward move is likely

MELI's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on March 04, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 270 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 270 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MELI advanced for three days, in of 364 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for MELI moved out of overbought territory on February 25, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where MELI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 31, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MELI as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MELI turned negative on March 28, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

MELI moved below its 50-day moving average on March 31, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MELI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MELI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MELI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MELI's P/B Ratio (22.727) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.901). P/E Ratio (51.761) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.973). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.465) is also within normal values, averaging (1.385). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.760) is also within normal values, averaging (5.532).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Just Eat Takeaway.com N.V. (OTC:JTKWY), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 40.71B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 622 to 2.04T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.04T. The lowest valued company is RBZHF at 622.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 12%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6%. OCG experienced the highest price growth at 112%, while WNW experienced the biggest fall at -41%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 18%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -36%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: -9 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

a providesr of internet trading services

Industry InternetRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
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Industry
Internet Software Or Services
Address
WTC Free Zone, Dr. Luis Bonavita 1294
Phone
+598 29272770
Employees
15638
Web
https://www.mercadolibre.com
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