Aon plc (AON, $323.43) is expected to report earnings to rise 36.50% to $5.31 per share on April 28
Technical Analysis: AON's 10-Day RSI Indicator Signals Potential Downtrend
AON, a leading provider of risk management, insurance, and reinsurance brokerage, recently saw its 10-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator move out of the overbought zone on April 25, 2023. This suggests that the stock's price may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend, which could be a signal for traders to sell or consider buying put options.
To support this analysis, Tickeron's A.I.dvisor tool was used to examine 47 instances where the 10-day RSI for AON moved out of the overbought zone. The results revealed that in 25 of those cases, the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 53%, providing further evidence for a potential downtrend in the stock's price.
Earnings Analysis: AON's Strong Earnings Beat Estimates
In terms of AON's recent earnings report, the company beat the earnings per share (EPS) estimate of $3.67, reporting EPS of $3.89 for the quarter ending February 03. With 39.25K shares outstanding, AON's current market capitalization sits at 67.16B, indicating a strong financial position.
Despite the positive earnings report, technical analysis suggests that traders may want to be cautious about holding onto AON stock at this time. While past performance is not a guarantee of future results, the historical data analyzed by Tickeron's A.I.dvisor tool suggests that there is a higher probability of the stock moving down in the days that follow a move out of the overbought zone.
In conclusion, traders may want to consider selling AON stock or buying put options as the 10-day RSI indicator signals a potential downtrend in the stock's price. However, it's important to keep in mind that this is not a guarantee, and careful analysis of market trends and news should be considered before making any trading decisions.
AON in -0.43% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on May 26, 2023
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where AON declined for three days, in of 254 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 19, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AON as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AON turned negative on May 16, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
AON moved below its 50-day moving average on May 23, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AON crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 30, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AON's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AON advanced for three days, in of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
AON may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 368 cases where AON Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AON’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AON's P/B Ratio (89.181) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (8.770). P/E Ratio (25.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.856). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.989) is also within normal values, averaging (1.960). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. AON's P/S Ratio (5.187) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.446).
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Industry description
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a provider of insurance brokerage, risk management and human capital consulting services
Industry InsuranceBrokersServices
AON and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AON has been closely correlated with MMC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AON jumps, then MMC could also see price increases.
