Apple (AAPL, $169.68) earnings expectations on May 4
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Investors are eagerly awaiting Apple's earnings report, which is set to be released on Thursday, May 4th. The tech giant has been in the spotlight lately, particularly after its stock, AAPL, experienced a downward trend of -0.95% for three consecutive days starting on April 26, 2023. This bearish sign has investors on edge, wondering if this trend will continue, and if so, what the implications will be.
The market has historically been unforgiving to stocks that continue to trend downwards, and AAPL is no exception. Looking at the data from situations where AAPL declined for three days, it's been found that in 145 of 252 cases, the price declined further within the following month. This means that the odds of a continued downward trend are high, with a 58% chance of it happening.
Despite this, Apple remains one of the most valuable companies in the world, with a market cap of over $2.5 trillion. It's been a top performer in the technology sector, consistently outpacing its competitors and posting strong earnings reports. However, even the best companies can experience periods of volatility and uncertainty, and this seems to be the case with AAPL at the moment.
As Apple prepares to release its earnings report, investors will be closely watching to see how the company performed over the last quarter. Analysts are forecasting a solid quarter, with expectations of revenue growth and strong earnings per share. However, with the recent downward trend, there is a sense of caution in the air, and investors will be looking for any signs of weakness or vulnerability in the report.
Apple's earnings report on Thursday, May 4th, will be a critical event for the company and its investors. With the recent downward trend in AAPL, the odds of a continued downward trend are high, and investors will be looking for any signs of weakness or vulnerability in the report. Regardless of the outcome, one thing is certain: Apple's performance will have a significant impact on the market, and it's sure to be a closely watched event for investors around the world.
AAPL in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on June 13, 2025
AAPL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 31 cases where AAPL's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAPL advanced for three days, in of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 11, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AAPL as a result. In of 71 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AAPL turned negative on June 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
AAPL moved below its 50-day moving average on June 09, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AAPL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 28, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAPL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AAPL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (35.461) is normal, around the industry mean (93.371). P/E Ratio (26.429) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.214). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.092) is also within normal values, averaging (1.781). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.095) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.925) is also within normal values, averaging (80.628).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
a manufacturer of mobile communication, media devices, personal computers, and portable digital music players
Industry ElectronicsAppliances
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