Go to the list of all blogs
Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Nov 19, 2022
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
Applied Materials (AMAT, $104.70) beats Q4 earnings expectations

Applied Materials (AMAT, $104.70) beats Q4 earnings expectations

Applied Materials posted fourth quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations.

The chip equipment company’s adjusted earnings came in at $2.03 a share for the October quarter, beating the consensus of $1.73 (based on FactSet survey). Revenue of $6.75 billion also topped analysts’ expectations of $6.45 billion.

Applied Materials’ Semiconductor Systems segment generated sales of $5.04 billion (~75% of overall net sales), up +17% year-over-year. Applied Global Services sales rose +4% year-over-year to $1.42 billion (21% of net sales), while Display and Adjacent Markets revenue fell -40% year-over-year to $251 million (4% of net sales).

Sales in the US climbed 23.3% year-over-year, while those in Europe were up 13.3%. Korea and Taiwan had +7.8% increase and +66.8% rise respectively. Southeast Asia sales were up +120%. Sales in Japan slipped -1.1%, and those in China plunged -35% from the year-ago quarter.

The non-GAAP gross margin contracted -220 basis points to 46%. Non-GAAP operating margin of 29.8% was 330 bps narrower vs. the year-ago quarter’s figure.

For first-quarter fiscal 2023, Applied Materials projects net sales of $6.7 billion (+/-$400 million), higher than The Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.38 billion. Guidance for non-GAAP earnings per share is $1.93 (+/-0.18) vs.  The Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.91.

 

Related Ticker: AMAT

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


AMAT in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026

AMAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 29 of 34 cases where AMAT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AMAT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +16.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMAT advanced for three days, in 250 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMAT as a result. In 58 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMAT turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.

AMAT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AMAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

The 50-day moving average for AMAT moved below the 200-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator for AMAT entered a downward trend on November 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.304) is normal, around the industry mean (5.670). P/E Ratio (28.486) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.795). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.967) is also within normal values, averaging (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.764) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC), Teradyne (NASDAQ:TER), Ambarella (NASDAQ:AMBA).

Industry description

The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electronic Production Equipment Industry is 46.26B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 310.74K to 665.22B. ASMLF holds the highest valuation in this group at 665.22B. The lowest valued company is SMTK at 310.74K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electronic Production Equipment Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -37%. DQ experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while SMTK experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electronic Production Equipment Industry was 7%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 135% and the average quarterly volume growth was -19%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 61
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 67
SMR Rating: 71
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 29 (-100 ... +100)
AI Screener 4
View a ticker or compare two or three
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of equipment and software for the semiconductor industries

Industry ElectronicProductionEquipment

Industry
Electronic Production Equipment
Address
3050 Bowers Avenue
Phone
+1 408 727-5555
Employees
36500
Web
https://www.appliedmaterials.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
AtlasClear Holdings (ATCH) shares fell roughly 25.5% over the last 30 days, declining from $0.1881 on October 2 to $0.1401 on October 30. The pullback extended a longer downtrend that has kept the stock trading well below the $1.00 NYSE American minimum, keeping continued listing-compliance risk in focus.
XRPN fell -9.70% in early regular-session trading on Tuesday, sliding from Monday's $10.41 close to $9.40. The decline follows a November 9 SEC prospectus disclosing a committed equity facility with Cantor to sell up to 5.2 million new Class A shares at 97% of the volume-weighted average price, implying up to roughly 16.7% potential dilution.
The $1.50 central target is a fallback objective drawn from public market and technical discussion, not an analyst consensus, because AquaBounty Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: AQB) has no credible, current sell-side price targets. With the stock near $0.95, reaching $1.50 would require roughly 58% upside, a very large move for a company that has wound down its core aquaculture operations.
The central target of $1,620 is the arithmetic mean of verified, current analyst price targets, rounded to a clean level; it is not a single firm's forecast or a guarantee. At a recent price of about $690 , reaching $1,620 would require a gain of roughly 135% , a very large move by any standard.
NVDA dropped from Friday's close of $186.64 to $174.06 intraday, down -6.74%, during regular market hours. The slide followed CEO Jensen Huang's admission of an extramarital affair and the board's independent investigation, announced November 8, after reports he was targeted by a suspected Chinese intelligence operative.
Applied Materials (AMAT, $104.70) beats Q4 earnings expectations