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Nov 19, 2022

Applied Materials (AMAT, $104.70) beats Q4 earnings expectations

Applied Materials posted fourth quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations.

The chip equipment company’s adjusted earnings came in at $2.03 a share for the October quarter, beating the consensus of $1.73 (based on FactSet survey). Revenue of $6.75 billion also topped analysts’ expectations of $6.45 billion.

Applied Materials’ Semiconductor Systems segment generated sales of $5.04 billion (~75% of overall net sales), up +17% year-over-year. Applied Global Services sales rose +4% year-over-year to $1.42 billion (21% of net sales), while Display and Adjacent Markets revenue fell -40% year-over-year to $251 million (4% of net sales).

Sales in the US climbed 23.3% year-over-year, while those in Europe were up 13.3%. Korea and Taiwan had +7.8% increase and +66.8% rise respectively. Southeast Asia sales were up +120%. Sales in Japan slipped -1.1%, and those in China plunged -35% from the year-ago quarter.

The non-GAAP gross margin contracted -220 basis points to 46%. Non-GAAP operating margin of 29.8% was 330 bps narrower vs. the year-ago quarter’s figure.

For first-quarter fiscal 2023, Applied Materials projects net sales of $6.7 billion (+/-$400 million), higher than The Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.38 billion. Guidance for non-GAAP earnings per share is $1.93 (+/-0.18) vs.  The Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.91.

 

Related Ticker: AMAT

Momentum Indicator for AMAT turns positive, indicating new upward trend

AMAT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on July 05, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMAT advanced for three days, in of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 267 cases where AMAT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMAT moved out of overbought territory on July 11, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 72 cases where AMAT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMAT turned negative on July 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMAT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AMAT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 10, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 80%.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. AMAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.950) is normal, around the industry mean (7.153). P/E Ratio (24.546) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.507). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.493) is also within normal values, averaging (3.245). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.631) is also within normal values, averaging (30.257).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 51.09B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 3.16T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.16T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 15%. NMGC experienced the highest price growth at 40%, while MMTIF experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -22% and the average quarterly volume growth was -45%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 47
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 59
Seasonality Score: 6 (-100 ... +100)
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AMAT
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General Information

a manufacturer of equipment and software for the semiconductor industries

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Electronic Production Equipment
Address
3050 Bowers Avenue
Phone
+1 408 727-5555
Employees
34000
Web
https://www.appliedmaterials.com
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