Archer Daniels Midland (ADM, $40.90) disappoints on Q1 earnings
Archer Daniels Midland’s earnings for the first quarter fell short of analysts’ estimates by a wide margin.
The food processing & commodities trading company reported earnings of 41 cents a share for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectation of 60 cents (based on FactSet data). Earnings were also lower from the year-ago quarter’s 70 cents.
Revenue of $15.3 billion came in lower compared to analysts’ estimates of $15.6 billion.
Chairman and CEO Juan Luciano cited adverse weather conditions in North America and ethanol industry issues as major headwinds to the company’s lower-than-expected performance in the first quarter.
However, Luciano is hopeful that business would improve in the second half of the year would due to the company’s business strategy, an expected resolution of the U.S.-China trade tensions and an anticipated boost in soybean meal demand driven by African Swine Fever. Also, the company is expected to adapt its corn wet mill in Marshall, Minnesota,for producing higher volumes of food and industrial-grade starches.
Momentum Indicator for ADM turns positive, indicating new upward trend
ADM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 16, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 87 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 87 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADM advanced for three days, in of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ADM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 283 cases where ADM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADM moved out of overbought territory on September 02, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where ADM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ADM turned negative on September 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. ADM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.336) is normal, around the industry mean (3.776). P/E Ratio (27.109) is within average values for comparable stocks, (83.024). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.834). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.364) is also within normal values, averaging (31.269).
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General Information
a provider of the processing of oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa, and other agricultural commodities
Industry AgriculturalCommoditiesMilling
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