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Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 20, 2020

AstraZeneca ( AZN, $59.04)and Oxford publish promising data of coronavirus vaccine study

Britain's biopharmaceutical  AstraZeneca plc  and Oxford University published data from an early stage trial of a coronavirus vaccine study .

The two groups described  humoral and cellular immune responses in human trials, with an acceptable safety profile. According to the study, there were 'potent' cellular and humoral immunogenicity in all 1,077 participants in the Phase 1/Phase II study.

“The immune responses observed following vaccination are in line with what we expect will be associated with protection against the SARS-CoV-2 virus, although we must continue with our rigorous clinical trial programme to confirm this." , Andrew Pollard, chief investigator of the Oxford Vaccine Trial at Oxford University and co-author of the trial said. “We saw the strongest immune response in participants who received two doses of the vaccine, indicating that this might be a good strategy for vaccination,' he added.  

The details of the study are published in the U.K. medical journal The Lancet.

According to Tickeron, 

AZN's in Uptrend: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram just turned positive

This is a Bullish indicator signaling AZN's price could rise. Traders may explore going long on the ticker or buying call options. In 29 of 46 cases where AZN's MACD histogram became positive, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%.

Current price $58.94 is above $53.50 the highest support line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 06/16/20 - 07/17/20, the price experienced a +14% Uptrend. During the week of 07/10/20 - 07/17/20, the stock enjoyed a +14% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 09, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 48 of 80 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 60%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 22 of 38 similar backtested cases where AZN's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 58%.

The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed above its 50-day Moving Average on July 09, 2020, which can be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 11 of 19 similar cases where AZN's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 58%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 106 of 295 similar cases where AZN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 36%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the ticker has entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 13 of 39 cases where AZN's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 33%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 33%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.38 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 6 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.21) is normal, around the industry mean (-2.87). P/E Ratio (117.50) is within average values for comparable stocks, (214.31). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is also within normal values, averaging (35.76). AZN's Dividend Yield (2.75) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.26). P/S Ratio (5.11) is also within normal values, averaging (227.14).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 40 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

 

Related Ticker: AZN

AZN in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on May 24, 2023

AZN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 31 cases where AZN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AZN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AZN advanced for three days, in of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 18, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AZN as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AZN moved below its 50-day moving average on June 01, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AZN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AZN entered a downward trend on May 31, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.309) is normal, around the industry mean (6.110). P/E Ratio (48.309) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.240). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.138) is also within normal values, averaging (3.471). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.184) is also within normal values, averaging (4.009).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), AstraZeneca PLC (NASDAQ:AZN), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB).

Industry description

The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry is 79.91B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 72.83K to 414.35B. LLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 414.35B. The lowest valued company is CRXTQ at 72.83K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. OTSKF experienced the highest price growth at 5%, while CHJTF experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was -7%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -13% and the average quarterly volume growth was 22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 28
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 52
Profit Risk Rating: 59
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
Show details...
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of pharmaceutical products

Industry PharmaceuticalsMajor

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Pharmaceuticals Major
Address
1 Francis Crick Avenue
Phone
+44 2037495000
Employees
83500
Web
https://www.astrazeneca.com
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AZN and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AZN has been loosely correlated with NVS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AZN jumps, then NVS could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AZN
1D Price
Change %
AZN100%
-0.33%
NVS - AZN
61%
Loosely correlated
+0.89%
PFE - AZN
50%
Loosely correlated
N/A
SNY - AZN
48%
Loosely correlated
-1.10%
MRK - AZN
45%
Loosely correlated
+0.47%
LLY - AZN
45%
Loosely correlated
+1.64%
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