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published in Blogs
Dec 21, 2018
Astrazeneca’s Stock is Outperforming the Company

Astrazeneca’s Stock is Outperforming the Company

Pharmaceutical company AstraZeneca (NYSE: AZN) is in a unique situation currently. The stock is performing much better than the company. What do I mean by that? The stock price is growing much faster than the company’s earnings or sales.

If we look at the daily chart, you can see that the stock price has been trending higher over the last nine months. The upward trend actually goes back to the end of 2016, but I wanted to show you the trend channel that has formed on the stock over the last nine months.

The stock has just bounced off of the lower rail of the channel and the stochastic readings have just made a bullish crossover and look to be moving out of oversold territory. The last time we saw this same scenario was in mid-October and the stock jumped from below $37 to over $41.50.

If you look back over the last two years, the stock has gained 57.3% while the S&P is up 17.5% over this same time period. If we look at Investor’s Business Daily’s relative strength rating, the stock scores a 90. This means that Astrazeneca’s stock has appreciated better than 90% of all publicly traded stocks over the past year.

In the meantime, the company has seen earnings decline by an average of 5% per year over the last three years and sales have declined at a 5% rate over the same period. In the most recent quarterly report, earnings dropped by 37% and sales dropped by 14%.

This is a unique scenario and you wouldn’t expect it to go on very long. Either the fundamentals will catch up with the stock price, or the stock price will start falling to catch up to the earnings and sales on the downside.

Related Ticker: AZN

AZN's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AZN moved out of overbought territory on March 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 41 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AZN as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AZN turned negative on February 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AZN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AZN advanced for three days, in of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AZN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 302 cases where AZN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.161) is normal, around the industry mean (9.306). P/E Ratio (29.558) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.454). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.577) is also within normal values, averaging (2.452). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.141) is also within normal values, averaging (3.934).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Eli Lilly & Co (NYSE:LLY), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), ABBVIE (NYSE:ABBV), AstraZeneca PLC (NYSE:AZN), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK), Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD), Pfizer (NYSE:PFE), Bristol-Myers Squibb Co (NYSE:BMY), Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB).

Industry description

The Major Pharmaceuticals industry includes companies that are involved in various processes of creating drugs to treat/prevent diseases. These companies engage in research, testing and manufacturing, as well as the distribution of pharmaceuticals into markets. Johnson & Johnson, Merck & Co., Inc., Pfizer Inc. and Novartis are among the largest companies in this category.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry is 112.21B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 72.83K to 909.04B. LLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 909.04B. The lowest valued company is CRXTQ at 72.83K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. AMRN experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while MDCX experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Major Industry was 284%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -14% and the average quarterly volume growth was -18%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 30
P/E Growth Rating: 67
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 55
Profit Risk Rating: 73
Seasonality Score: -10 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. AZN showed earnings on November 06, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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