AT&T shares fell to the lowest level in more than a decade, amid the company’s shift in focus from media assets to telecoms and lower payout ratios ahead of its third quarter earnings.
AT&T has sold key media assets, including DirecTV, and planned the $43 billion merger of its media division with Discovery. It is focusing on becoming a purely telecoms group.
The company announced this spring that its dividend payout ratio, which was around 63% in the first quarter, will be "re-sized" to reflect the distribution of WarnerMedia assets into a new company. The remaining AT&T assets will target a dividend payout ratio of between 40% and 43%, based on anticipated free cash flow of around $20 billion.
AT&T will publish its third quarter earnings on October 21. Analysts are currently expecting adjusted EPS of 78 cents on revenues of $39.45 billion.
The 10-day moving average for T crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 27, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 20, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on T as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for T turned negative on April 20, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
T moved below its 50-day moving average on April 20, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where T declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for T entered a downward trend on May 25, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 22 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where T advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
T may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.090) is normal, around the industry mean (5.718). P/E Ratio (7.918) is within average values for comparable stocks, (133.591). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.066) is also within normal values, averaging (10.085). Dividend Yield (0.073) settles around the average of (0.112) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.946) is also within normal values, averaging (66.542).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. T’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. T’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows