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Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 18, 2021

AT&T (T, $31.39) to cut dividend payout ratio, amid media asset merger with Discovery

AT&T   will slash its dividend payout ratio by more than 20 percentage points, amid its media asset merger with Discovery .

AT&T said its dividend payout ratio, which was around 63% in the previous quarter, will be "re-sized" to account for the distribution of WarnerMedia assets into a new company. The remaining AT&T assets will intend to give shareholders a dividend payout ratio of between 40% and 43%, based on expected free cash flow of around $20 billion.

AT&T Inc. agreed to spin off its media operations in a deal with Discovery Inc. that will create a new company, merging assets such as CNN and HBO with HGTV and the Food Network. The transaction values the combined entity at about $130 billion including debt, based on WarnerMedia’s estimated enterprise value of more than $90 billion.

As part of the 'Reverse Morris Trust' agreement structure, AT&T shareholders will own 71% of the combined entity. The entity is expected to generate $52 billion in 2023 revenues and a combined subscriber base of nearly 150 million.

 

Related Ticker: T

T sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

On May 31, 2023, the Stochastic Oscillator for T moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 61 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 61 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where T's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where T advanced for three days, in of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

T may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for T crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 27, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where T declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for T entered a downward trend on June 01, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.137) is normal, around the industry mean (5.675). P/E Ratio (7.918) is within average values for comparable stocks, (133.795). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.200) is also within normal values, averaging (10.009). Dividend Yield (0.070) settles around the average of (0.110) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.987) is also within normal values, averaging (65.412).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. T’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. T’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Comcast Corp (NASDAQ:CMCSA), Verizon Communications (NYSE:VZ), AT&T (NYSE:T), Lumen Technologies (NYSE:LUMN).

Industry description

Wireless Telecom includes companies that sell wireless antenna or satellite-based communication services. This is the fastest-growing area in communications, as more and more communication and computing happen on mobile devices and cloud-based platforms. Wireless telecom is a key industry for global connectivity, and has even further room for growth in emerging markets and in rural parts of developed nations. People’s growing need for speed in data connectivity, higher resolution, and smoother video streaming and multimedia applications should drive growth and competition within this segment. T-Mobile US, Inc., Vodafone Group, and Sprint Corporation are some major providers of wireless telecom.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Wireless Telecommunications Industry is 13.39B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9.67K to 12.88T. LNETF holds the highest valuation in this group at 12.88T. The lowest valued company is IGLDF at 9.67K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Wireless Telecommunications Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 12%. CELJF experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while MIMO experienced the biggest fall at -37%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Wireless Telecommunications Industry was -35%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 11% and the average quarterly volume growth was 7%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: -2 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of dsl internet, local and long-distance voice and data services

Industry WirelessTelecommunications

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Major Telecommunications
Address
208 S. Akard Street
Phone
+1 210 821-4105
Employees
160700
Web
https://www.att.com
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T and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, T has been loosely correlated with VZ. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if T jumps, then VZ could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To T
1D Price
Change %
T100%
-3.83%
VZ - T
62%
Loosely correlated
-3.19%
TMUS - T
50%
Loosely correlated
-5.56%
BCE - T
48%
Loosely correlated
+0.69%
LBTYK - T
46%
Loosely correlated
+1.55%
TU - T
45%
Loosely correlated
+0.47%
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