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published in Blogs
Dec 05, 2018

AutoZone (AZO, $880.07) Earnings Races Past Expectations

Auto parts retailer AutoZone’s earnings and same-store sales exceeded expectations for the quarter ending November 17.

Net income increased to $13.47 per share, from $10 a share of the year-ago period. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had expected earnings per share of $12.21. "Net income and diluted earnings per share benefited from a lower effective income tax rate, primarily due to tax reform," the company said in its earnings statement.

Domestic same-store sales rose +2.7% in the quarter from the same period a year ago, beating analysts’ estimates of +2% increase. Total sales increased to $2.64 billion from $2.59 billion.

 

Related Ticker: AZO

AZO's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for AZO moved out of oversold territory on April 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 26 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 11 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AZO advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AZO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 309 cases where AZO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 03, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AZO as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AZO turned negative on March 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

AZO moved below its 50-day moving average on April 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AZO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AZO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (36.101) is normal, around the industry mean (12.709). P/E Ratio (22.358) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.582) is also within normal values, averaging (2.536). AZO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.033). P/S Ratio (3.265) is also within normal values, averaging (87.325).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO), Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), RH (NYSE:RH), Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 8.08B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48 to 380.15B. HD holds the highest valuation in this group at 380.15B. The lowest valued company is CALI at 48.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 20%. SPEV experienced the highest price growth at 100%, while WINH experienced the biggest fall at -68%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 56
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: 5 (-100 ... +100)
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AZODaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
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published General Information

General Information

a distributor of automotive replacement parts and accessories

Industry SpecialtyStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
123 South Front Street
Phone
+1 901 495-6500
Employees
11900
Web
https://www.autozone.com
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