Bearish signal on United Airlines as it hits downward sloped trend line
United Airlines (Nasdaq: UAL) has been trending lower since the beginning of December and is one of the few stocks that hasn’t really gained much ground in 2019. As of April 9, the stock is only up 0.62% while the S&P is up 14.81% on a year to date basis.
There is a downward sloped trend line connecting the high from December with the high from February, and the stock just hit the trend line last week. This trend line is also in close proximity to the 50-day moving average.
The stock has rallied over the last few weeks in order to reach the trend line, but the rally has caused the stock to jump from oversold to overbought based on the daily stochastic readings. The indicators did make a bearish crossover on April 9.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bearish signal for United on April 8 with a confidence level of 67%. The signal calls for a decline of at least 4% over the next month and 69% of previous predictions on the stock have been successful.
United is expected to release earnings after the closing bell on April 16 with a conference call scheduled for the following morning. Over the last three years the company has seen earnings decline by an average of 5% per year while sales have only increased by 3% per year over the same period. The company did see year over year earnings increase by 67% in the most recent earnings report.
UAL sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for UAL moved above the 200-day moving average on August 22, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAL advanced for three days, in of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 245 cases where UAL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for UAL moved out of overbought territory on September 12, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 68 cases where UAL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 15, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAL as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UAL turned negative on September 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
UAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. UAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.531) is normal, around the industry mean (3.126). P/E Ratio (10.486) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.775). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.356) is also within normal values, averaging (4.196). UAL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.033). P/S Ratio (0.598) is also within normal values, averaging (0.599).
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General Information
a holding company with interest in transporting people and cargo through mainline operations, which utilize full-sized jet aircraft
Industry Airlines
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