Beginner's Swing Trading Guide: Gain 11.69% on NIO, Aroon Indicator Insights
Swing Trader Success: Generating an 11.69% Return for NIO
Swing trading, a style of trading that attempts to capture short- to medium-term gains over a period of a few days to several weeks, has proven to be an effective strategy for beginner investors. One recent case study involves NIO Inc., an electric vehicle manufacturer based in China, which has seen a significant return of 11.69%.
This impressive return has been brought about, in part, by the effective use of the Aroon Indicator. This technical indicator is often employed to determine whether a security is trending, and the strength of that trend. For NIO, it offered a robust sign of an upward trajectory, acting as a compass guiding traders toward a more profitable horizon.
On July 10, 2023, the Aroon Indicator for NIO triggered a bullish signal. The AroonUp green line, which measures the strength of the uptrend, rose above 70. Simultaneously, the AroonDown red line, an indicator of a downtrend, fell below 30. This divergence is a clear sign of a potential bullish move. As a result, traders may see this as an opportunity to buy the stock or invest in call options.
This bullish pattern isn't an isolated incident. a sophisticated artificial intelligence system designed to analyze market trends have tracked 216 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator exhibited this pattern. In 184 of these cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. This pattern implies that there is an 85% probability of a positive move, suggesting a high likelihood of continued upward momentum.
This case with NIO exemplifies the potential of swing trading for beginners. The successful application of technical indicators, such as the Aroon Indicator, provides traders with valuable insights, enabling them to make informed decisions and generate significant returns. As demonstrated here, beginner investors can potentially reap substantial benefits from a strategic approach to swing trading. However, as with all trading strategies, understanding the tools and making informed decisions based on thorough analysis is key to success.
NIO sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
NIO saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 19, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NIO as a result. In of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
NIO moved below its 50-day moving average on August 18, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NIO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 25, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NIO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for NIO entered a downward trend on September 08, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NIO advanced for three days, in of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NIO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.918) is normal, around the industry mean (6.824). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.822). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.686). NIO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (2.183) is also within normal values, averaging (52.364).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NIO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NIO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a manufacturer of electric cars
Industry MotorVehicles
NIO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NIO has been closely correlated with XPEV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NIO jumps, then XPEV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NIO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIO | 100% | +3.16% | ||
| XPEV - NIO | 79% Closely correlated | -6.52% | ||
| LI - NIO | 68% Closely correlated | +0.52% | ||
| NIU - NIO | 61% Loosely correlated | -3.47% | ||
| RIVN - NIO | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.50% | ||
| LCID - NIO | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.91% | ||
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