Bitcoin: The 6th Most Circulated Currency in the World?
In November 2017, The Bank for International Settlements ranked Bitcoin as the sixth most-circulated currency in the world, at $180 billion. The ranking, calculated when bitcoin was valued at $10,765 each, means the flagship cryptocurrency outranked the UK pound and the Russian ruble, and was only surpassed in total value by the rupee (India), yen (Japan), yuan (China), euro (Europe), and the US dollar.
While bitcoin has been performing extremely well over the last year plus, it is worth noting that the value of notes in circulation does not equate to total value of a currency. But with ethereum and bitcoin cash occupying spots #17 and #20, respectively, the rankings illustrate cryptocurrency’s rapid growth and increasing prestige.
The numbers are startling – in May 2017, a bitcoin was worth under $2,000, and total circulation was valued at around $40 billion. A little over six months later, a bitcoin was worth $19,400, bringing total valuation to $300 billion. Bitcoin mining machines are solving the increasingly-complex math problems needed to create new bitcoin about every 10 minutes, with each successful solution bringing 12.5 new bitcoin into the world. The roughly 16.7 million bitcoins in circulation today are almost 700,000 more than in December 2016.
There are questions about how bitcoin, whose finite supply is 21 million units, will respond after all remaining coins are mined (a milestone experts will be reached by 2040) and the total number in circulation is finalized. A recent report from digital forensics firm Chainalysis suggest between 2.78 and 3.79 million bitcoins have already been lost, the victims of misplaced wallet keys and other missteps. Present-day bitcoin owners appear to be much more vigilant in storing their holdings – the report finds that most lost bitcoins are from the early years of the currency, in 2009 and 2010, when it was significantly less valuable.
It is unclear whether bitcoin is scarcer by virtue of these losses or if the market has adjusted its value to these missing coins. Kim Grauer, Senior Economist at Chainalysis, believes the answer is complex: “Direct calculations about market cap do not take lost coins into consideration. Considering how highly speculative this field is, those market cap calculations may make it into economic models of the market that impact spending activity,” said Grauer. “Yet the market has adapted to the actual demand and supply available – just look at exchange behavior. Furthermore, it is well-known monetary policy procedure to lower or increase fiat reserves to impact exchange rates. So the answer is yes and no.”
Whether bitcoin continues its meteoric rise in value is debatable, but one fact is not – cryptocurrency is here to stay. Bitcoin, ethereum, and more are growing in circulation and influence, and the revolution is far from finished.
BCH.X's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BCH.X turned positive on May 27, 2023. Looking at past instances where BCH.X's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 61 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 85 cases where BCH.X's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 28, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BCH.X as a result. In of 132 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BCH.X advanced for three days, in of 385 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
BCH.X may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for BCH.X crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 25, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BCH.X declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for BCH.X entered a downward trend on May 15, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
