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Feb 11, 2021

Bitcoin: The 6th Most Circulated Currency in the World?

In November 2017, The Bank for International Settlements ranked Bitcoin as the sixth most-circulated currency in the world, at $180 billion. The ranking, calculated when bitcoin was valued at $10,765 each, means the flagship cryptocurrency outranked the UK pound and the Russian ruble, and was only surpassed in total value by the rupee (India), yen (Japan), yuan (China), euro (Europe), and the US dollar.

While bitcoin has been performing extremely well over the last year plus, it is worth noting that the value of notes in circulation does not equate to total value of a currency. But with ethereum and bitcoin cash occupying spots #17 and #20, respectively, the rankings illustrate cryptocurrency’s rapid growth and increasing prestige.                                   

The numbers are startling – in May 2017, a bitcoin was worth under $2,000, and total circulation was valued at around $40 billion. A little over six months later, a bitcoin was worth $19,400, bringing total valuation to $300 billion. Bitcoin mining machines are solving the increasingly-complex math problems needed to create new bitcoin about every 10 minutes, with each successful solution bringing 12.5 new bitcoin into the world. The roughly 16.7 million bitcoins in circulation today are almost 700,000 more than in December 2016.

There are questions about how bitcoin, whose finite supply is 21 million units, will respond after all remaining coins are mined (a milestone experts will be reached by 2040) and the total number in circulation is finalized. A recent report from digital forensics firm Chainalysis suggest between 2.78 and 3.79 million bitcoins have already been lost, the victims of misplaced wallet keys and other missteps. Present-day bitcoin owners appear to be much more vigilant in storing their holdings – the report finds that most lost bitcoins are from the early years of the currency, in 2009 and 2010, when it was significantly less valuable.

 

 

It is unclear whether bitcoin is scarcer by virtue of these losses or if the market has adjusted its value to these missing coins. Kim Grauer, Senior Economist at Chainalysis, believes the answer is complex: “Direct calculations about market cap do not take lost coins into consideration. Considering how highly speculative this field is, those market cap calculations may make it into economic models of the market that impact spending activity,” said Grauer. “Yet the market has adapted to the actual demand and supply available – just look at exchange behavior. Furthermore, it is well-known monetary policy procedure to lower or increase fiat reserves to impact exchange rates. So the answer is yes and no.”

Whether bitcoin continues its meteoric rise in value is debatable, but one fact is not – cryptocurrency is here to stay. Bitcoin, ethereum, and more are growing in circulation and influence, and the revolution is far from finished.

Related Ticker: BCH.X

BCH.X's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BCH.X turned positive on March 24, 2024. Looking at past instances where BCH.X's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 66 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 23, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BCH.X as a result. In of 139 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BCH.X advanced for three days, in of 404 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

BCH.X broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 31, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the group is 9.52B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9.52B to 9.52B. BCH.X holds the highest valuation in this group at 9.52B. The lowest valued company is BCH.X at 9.52B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was -21%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was 35%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. BCH.X experienced the highest price growth at -21%, while BCH.X experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was -7%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was -33% and the average quarterly volume growth was 0%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating:
P/E Growth Rating:
Price Growth Rating:
SMR Rating:
Profit Risk Rating:
Seasonality Score: (-100 ... +100)
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BCH.XDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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