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Jul 27, 2023

Boost $TROW Returns 25.31%: Sector Rotation Strategy (TA&FA)

Swing Trader's Sector Rotation Strategy Yields 25.31% Return for TROW

In the world of finance, Swing Trading is a popular strategy that combines Technical Analysis (TA) and Fundamental Analysis (FA) to capitalize on short- to medium-term price movements. One recent example of the effectiveness of this strategy is T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW), which has experienced a significant uptrend resulting in a remarkable 25.31% return. The key to this success lies in the timely execution of the Sector Rotation Strategy.

TROW's Bullish Moving Average Crossover:

A crucial aspect of the Sector Rotation Strategy is the interpretation of moving averages. On July 24, 2023, TROW witnessed its 50-day moving average crossing bullishly above its 200-day moving average. This occurrence is often referred to as a "Golden Cross" and serves as a prominent technical signal for traders.

The Golden Cross indicates a potential shift in the stock's trend from bearish to bullish. The 50-day moving average reflects the short-term price trend, while the 200-day moving average represents the long-term price trend. When the shorter-term moving average moves above the longer-term one, it suggests that the stock's momentum is gaining strength, and an uptrend may be imminent.

Implications of the Golden Cross:

For Swing Traders, the Golden Cross is a significant buy signal as it indicates the potential for further price appreciation. By employing the Sector Rotation Strategy, traders can take advantage of this bullish signal by allocating funds to the stock with favorable prospects for the foreseeable future.

It is important to note that while the Golden Cross is a strong indicator, it is not foolproof, and market conditions can change rapidly. Therefore, diligent monitoring and risk management are essential elements of successful swing trading.

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW) serves as an excellent example of how the Sector Rotation Strategy, which combines Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis, can yield impressive returns for Swing Traders. The occurrence of a Golden Cross, with the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day moving average, signaled a potential upward trend for TROW, leading to a notable 25.31% gain.

Related Ticker: TROW

Momentum Indicator for TROW turns positive, indicating new upward trend

TROW saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on July 11, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 86 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TROW just turned positive on July 12, 2024. Looking at past instances where TROW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TROW advanced for three days, in of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 318 cases where TROW Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TROW moved out of overbought territory on July 17, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 47 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where TROW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TROW declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TROW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 16, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 73%.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TROW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TROW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.832) is normal, around the industry mean (2.718). P/E Ratio (15.509) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.534). TROW's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.314) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.072) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.188) is also within normal values, averaging (11.329).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE:BK), Ares Capital Corp (NASDAQ:ARCC), AMTD IDEA Group (NYSE:AMTD), WisdomTree (NYSE:WT).

Industry description

Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Managers Industry is 5.96B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 57 to 124.17B. BLK holds the highest valuation in this group at 124.17B. The lowest valued company is RSERF at 57.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 57%. MGHCF experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while MVNT experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was 77%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 44% and the average quarterly volume growth was 18%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 40
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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a provider of investment management services

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Investment Managers
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https://www.troweprice.com
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