BP Makes a Comeback
Following the massive fallout from the 2010 Gulf of Mexico spill, BP is charting a comeback and re-entering the conversation with other super-major oil producers like Exxon. In the second quarter, BP posted a $2.8 billion profit, which exceeded analyst expectations and is about four times higher than the same period last year. For BP, this is standout performance in a quarter where Exxon disappointed.
BP said its oil-and-gas production was 3.6 million barrels per day of oil-equivalent, and the company has started projects in Azerbaijan, Russia and Egypt. The CFO of BP, Brian Gilvary, indicated that the company has already paid 80% of this year's planned settlement payments related to the Gulf of Mexico tragedy, which indicates that profitability may not be inhibited by payouts in the second half of the year (assuming there's not another tragedy and lawsuit). CEO Bob Dudley said that looking forward, the company is planning for oil prices in the $50–$65 per barrel range, which is conservative by today's prices -- crude is trading around $70 a barrel.
BP in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on June 04, 2025
The 10-day moving average for BP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
BP moved above its 50-day moving average on June 05, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BP advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 271 cases where BP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BP moved out of overbought territory on June 18, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 26, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BP as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BP turned negative on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
BP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 51, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.520) is normal, around the industry mean (1.194). P/E Ratio (7.366) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.146). BP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (13.379) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.841). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.111) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.534) is also within normal values, averaging (0.975).
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General Information
a producer of petroleum, natural gas and related products
Industry IntegratedOil
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