BP Makes a Comeback
Following the massive fallout from the 2010 Gulf of Mexico spill, BP is charting a comeback and re-entering the conversation with other super-major oil producers like Exxon. In the second quarter, BP posted a $2.8 billion profit, which exceeded analyst expectations and is about four times higher than the same period last year. For BP, this is standout performance in a quarter where Exxon disappointed.
BP said its oil-and-gas production was 3.6 million barrels per day of oil-equivalent, and the company has started projects in Azerbaijan, Russia and Egypt. The CFO of BP, Brian Gilvary, indicated that the company has already paid 80% of this year's planned settlement payments related to the Gulf of Mexico tragedy, which indicates that profitability may not be inhibited by payouts in the second half of the year (assuming there's not another tragedy and lawsuit). CEO Bob Dudley said that looking forward, the company is planning for oil prices in the $50–$65 per barrel range, which is conservative by today's prices -- crude is trading around $70 a barrel.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Aroon Indicator for BP shows an upward move is likely
BP's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 14, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 286 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 186 of the 286 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BP as a result. In 62 of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BP just turned positive on September 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where BP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
Following a +0.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BP advanced for three days, in 216 of 360 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BP moved out of overbought territory on August 21, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
BP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 27, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.025) is normal, around the industry mean (1.972). P/E Ratio (21.940) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.351). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.060) is also within normal values, averaging (1.563). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.555) is also within normal values, averaging (3.922).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
a producer of petroleum, natural gas and related products
Industry IntegratedOil
Advertisement