First, let's examine the technical analysis. The AI trading robot from Trend Trader: Popular Stocks (TA&FA) was a top performer in Tickeron's robot factory over a week, generating 7.08% for BP. However, it's important to note that technical analysis alone cannot predict future performance with complete accuracy.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) is a technical indicator that can signal potential changes in a stock's trend. On April 25, 2023, BP's MACD turned negative, indicating a potential downward trend. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 instances where the indicator turned negative and found that in 28 of those cases, the stock moved lower in the days that followed, putting the odds of a downward move at 64%. This suggests that there may be a bearish trend in BP's future.
Now, let's examine BP's recent earnings report. On May 02, BP reported earnings per share of $1.66, beating the estimated $1.38. This positive earnings surprise is a strong fundamental indicator and suggests that the company may be performing well. Additionally, with 1.05 million shares outstanding and a market capitalization of $109.09 billion, BP is a large and established company with a significant presence in the market.
BP saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 15, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 15, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BP as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
BP moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for BP entered a downward trend on October 07, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BP's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 62 cases where BP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BP advanced for three days, in of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.520) is normal, around the industry mean (1.194). P/E Ratio (7.366) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.146). BP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (13.379) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.841). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.111) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.534) is also within normal values, averaging (0.975).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a producer of petroleum, natural gas and related products
Industry IntegratedOil