Bullish signal for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) as it retakes its 50-day moving average
The energy sector has been one of the top performing sectors since the December low, second only to the industrial sector. Many of the stocks in the sector moved back above their 50-day moving averages and then dipped back down a little. Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC) is one stock that did just that.
You can see how it dropped below the 50-day back in October and then tumbled all the way down below $55 before bouncing back. The stock moved back above the 50-day in early January and then consolidated a little before dipping back below it last week. The stock rallied on Wednesday and moved back above the trend line.
We also see that the stochastic readings were in oversold territory and just made a bullish crossover. These two factors should be good signs for the stock.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction Tool generated a bullish signal on Marathon Petroleum on February 11. The signal showed a confidence level of 70% and the previous success rate of predictions was at 67%.
Marathon reported earnings back on February 7 and that is the big down day you see on the chart. The company beat its EPS estimate, $2.22 versus the estimated of $1.92. The company showed earnings growth of 29% for the fourth quarter on a year over year basis. Sales were up 53% over the previous year, and yet the stock fell after the report.
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Aroon Indicator for MPC shows an upward move is likely
MPC's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 30, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 338 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 259 of the 338 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MPC as a result. In 60 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MPC just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where MPC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +3.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPC advanced for three days, in 285 of 372 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
MPC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 31, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 37, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MPC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.734) is normal, around the industry mean (46.814). P/E Ratio (13.503) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.488). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.898) is also within normal values, averaging (1.079). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.047) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.800) is also within normal values, averaging (0.549).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
an operator of petroleum product refiners, marketers and transporters
Industry OilRefiningMarketing
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