Bullish signal for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) as it retakes its 50-day moving average
The energy sector has been one of the top performing sectors since the December low, second only to the industrial sector. Many of the stocks in the sector moved back above their 50-day moving averages and then dipped back down a little. Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC) is one stock that did just that.
You can see how it dropped below the 50-day back in October and then tumbled all the way down below $55 before bouncing back. The stock moved back above the 50-day in early January and then consolidated a little before dipping back below it last week. The stock rallied on Wednesday and moved back above the trend line.
We also see that the stochastic readings were in oversold territory and just made a bullish crossover. These two factors should be good signs for the stock.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction Tool generated a bullish signal on Marathon Petroleum on February 11. The signal showed a confidence level of 70% and the previous success rate of predictions was at 67%.
Marathon reported earnings back on February 7 and that is the big down day you see on the chart. The company beat its EPS estimate, $2.22 versus the estimated of $1.92. The company showed earnings growth of 29% for the fourth quarter on a year over year basis. Sales were up 53% over the previous year, and yet the stock fell after the report.
MPC sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
MPC saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on June 23, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MPC moved out of overbought territory on June 18, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 60 cases where MPC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MPC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 17, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 01, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MPC as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for MPC moved above the 200-day moving average on June 20, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPC advanced for three days, in of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 365 cases where MPC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MPC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.018) is normal, around the industry mean (9.584). P/E Ratio (8.650) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.092). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.185) is also within normal values, averaging (0.907). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.062) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.563) is also within normal values, averaging (0.483).
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General Information
an operator of petroleum product refiners, marketers and transporters
Industry OilRefiningMarketing
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