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Feb 19, 2019
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Bullish signal for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) as it retakes its 50-day moving average

Bullish signal for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) as it retakes its 50-day moving average

The energy sector has been one of the top performing sectors since the December low, second only to the industrial sector. Many of the stocks in the sector moved back above their 50-day moving averages and then dipped back down a little. Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC) is one stock that did just that.

You can see how it dropped below the 50-day back in October and then tumbled all the way down below $55 before bouncing back. The stock moved back above the 50-day in early January and then consolidated a little before dipping back below it last week. The stock rallied on Wednesday and moved back above the trend line.

We also see that the stochastic readings were in oversold territory and just made a bullish crossover. These two factors should be good signs for the stock.

The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction Tool generated a bullish signal on Marathon Petroleum on February 11. The signal showed a confidence level of 70% and the previous success rate of predictions was at 67%.

Marathon reported earnings back on February 7 and that is the big down day you see on the chart. The company beat its EPS estimate, $2.22 versus the estimated of $1.92. The company showed earnings growth of 29% for the fourth quarter on a year over year basis. Sales were up 53% over the previous year, and yet the stock fell after the report.

Related Ticker: MPC

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


MPC in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026

MPC moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 26 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MPC as a result. In 46 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MPC turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 25 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 54%.

The 10-day moving average for MPC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MPC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +5.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPC advanced for three days, in 288 of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

MPC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 269 of 351 cases where MPC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 43, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MPC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.487) is normal, around the industry mean (4.566). P/E Ratio (12.902) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.639). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.898) is also within normal values, averaging (1.079). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.067) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.800) is also within normal values, averaging (0.549).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp (NYSE:MPC), Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX).

Industry description

The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry is 20.38B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 23.08K to 104.67B. MPC holds the highest valuation in this group at 104.67B. The lowest valued company is BERI at 23.08K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was 15%. CLNE experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while CVI experienced the biggest fall at -20%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry was -13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was 7%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 66
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 49
Profit Risk Rating: 43
Seasonality Score: -35 (-100 ... +100)
Real Time Patterns 3
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of petroleum product refiners, marketers and transporters

Industry OilRefiningMarketing

Industry
Oil Refining Or Marketing
Address
539 South Main Street
Phone
+1 419 422-2121
Employees
18500
Web
https://www.marathonpetroleum.com
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Bullish signal for Marathon Petroleum (MPC) as it retakes its 50-day moving average