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Rick Pendergraft's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 19, 2019

Bullish signal from Tickeron’s Trend Prediction Engine for Zoetis

Zoetis (NYSE: ZTS) is a somewhat unique company in that it makes pharmaceuticals for animals. The New Jersey-based company makes drugs for all different animal species from dogs and cats to cows and horses. The company has performed extremely well in recent years, both fundamentally and in its price performance.

Zoetis just saw a bullish signal generated by the Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine on September 15. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% within the next month and it% showed a confidence level of 74%. Past predictions for Zoetis have been successful 76% of the time.

Looking at the daily chart for the stock we see that the stock has been trending higher since December and a trend channel has formed to define the various cycles within the overall upward trend. The stock just bounced off the lower rail of the channel this week and it looks poised to move higher yet again.

 

Two other things that stand out on the chart are the 50-day moving average and the stochastic readings. The 5o-day is just above the lower rail of the channel and that gives the stock two potential support levels. The stochastic readings reached oversold territory last week and made a bullish crossover on September 17.

The bullish signal from Tickeron and the bullish stochastic crossover are both good signs for the stock, but there is even more evidence pointing to a move higher. The Tickeron Technical Analysis Overview shows that the lower Bollinger Band was broken on September 10. This price move signals that Zoetis may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. In 29 of 42 cases where the stock price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued uptrend are 69%.

I mentioned earlier that the company has performed well from a fundamental perspective. At present the company boasts a return on equity of 77.1% and a profit margin of 32.1%. Both of those figures are excellent and well above average.

Zoetis has seen its earnings grow by an average of 25% per year over the last three years and they grew by 17% in the most recent quarterly report. Analysts expect earnings to grow by 14% in 2019 as a whole.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 8, indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating for Zoetis is 2, indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for Zoetis is 5, indicating outstanding price growth. Zoetis’ price has grown at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents. A rating of 1 points to highest price growth (largest percent return) while a rating of 100 points to lowest price growth (smallest percent return).

Sentiment toward Zoetis is average. There are 16 analysts covering the stock with 10 “buy” ratings, five “hold” ratings, and one “sell” rating. This puts the buy percentage at 62.5% and that is slightly below average, or slightly skewed toward the bearish side.

The short interest ratio is currently at 2.0 and that is also slightly below average, but that indicates a slight bullish skew.

Overall we see strong fundamentals, bullish signals from three different sources, and sentiment that is average. I would say thinks look pretty good for Zoetis in the coming weeks.

Related Ticker: ZTS

ZTS's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for ZTS entered a downward trend on June 07, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 122 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 122 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 19, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ZTS as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ZTS turned negative on May 16, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ZTS moved below its 50-day moving average on May 23, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ZTS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 31, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZTS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ZTS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 17 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 51 cases where ZTS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZTS advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ZTS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ZTS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (16.807) is normal, around the industry mean (42.706). P/E Ratio (37.037) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.716). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.213) is also within normal values, averaging (2.720). ZTS has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.009) as compared to the industry average of (0.027). P/S Ratio (9.461) is also within normal values, averaging (56.385).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ZOETIS (NYSE:ZTS), Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited (NYSE:TEVA), Intra-Cellular Therapies (NASDAQ:ITCI), Elanco Animal Health (NYSE:ELAN), Bausch Health Companies (NYSE:BHC), Tilray Brands (NASDAQ:TLRY), Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc (NASDAQ:AVDL), Canopy Growth Corp (NASDAQ:CGC), Aurora Cannabis (NASDAQ:ACB), Journey Medical Corp (NASDAQ:DERM).

Industry description

Pharmaceuticals (Other) comprise companies that are involved in the discovery, development or manufacturing of therapeutic and preventative medicines. They often collaborate with or acquire other pharmaceutical/healthcare firms. Examples of companies in this segment include Bausch Health Companies Inc., Icon Plc and Perrigo Company Plc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Pharmaceuticals: Other Industry is 2.34B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 246 to 79.4B. MKKGY holds the highest valuation in this group at 79.4B. The lowest valued company is PEMTF at 246.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Other Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 28%. ECGS experienced the highest price growth at 96%, while WIBFF experienced the biggest fall at -66%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Pharmaceuticals: Other Industry was -27%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -2% and the average quarterly volume growth was -94%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 71
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 85
Profit Risk Rating: 92
Seasonality Score: -2 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a pet medication company

Industry PharmaceuticalsOther

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Pharmaceuticals Generic
Address
10 Sylvan Way
Phone
+1 973 822-7000
Employees
13800
Web
https://www.zoetis.com
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ZTS and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ZTS has been loosely correlated with ELAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ZTS jumps, then ELAN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ZTS
1D Price
Change %
ZTS100%
-3.86%
ELAN - ZTS
57%
Loosely correlated
+1.96%
EVO - ZTS
49%
Loosely correlated
-3.75%
PAHC - ZTS
45%
Loosely correlated
+2.36%
DVAX - ZTS
44%
Loosely correlated
+0.86%
VTRS - ZTS
44%
Loosely correlated
+2.21%
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