Bullish signal on Atlassian just days after earnings disappointment
Atlassian (Nasdaq: TEAM) released earnings last week and the enterprise software company beat on its EPS estimate and revenue estimate, but the June profit forecast was disappointing to investors.
The disappointment caused the stock to gap lower on April 18 and the stock stabilized just above the $100 mark. If we connect the highs from December, February, and March, that could be the upper rail of a trend channel. The parallel lower rail would connect the low from November with the low from last week, if indeed this is a trend channel.
The pullback in the stock caused the daily oscillators to fall to their lowest levels since last October. They never actually reached oversold territory, but each stock can be different in that regard. The stochastic readings made a bullish crossover on April 24 and that could be a good sign.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on Atlassian on April 23 and that signal showed a confidence level of 87%. Just as impressive as that confidence level is the fact that 77% of past predictions on the stock have been successful. This signal calls for a 4% move to the upside within the next month.
The fundamentals for Atlassian are among the best out there. The company scores a 99 on the EPS rating from Investor’s Business Daily and that is the highest score a company can get. It also receives an A in the SMR category which is the best a company can get for its sales growth, profit margin, and return on equity.
Atlassian has seen its earnings grow at an annual rate of 33% per year over the last three years while sales have grown at a rate of 39% during that same period. Atlassian’s composite score, which combines the fundamental ratings with the price performance, is a 99—once again the highest score a stock can get.
TEAM's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for TEAM moved out of oversold territory on June 23, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 25 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where TEAM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 27, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TEAM as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TEAM just turned positive on June 27, 2025. Looking at past instances where TEAM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TEAM advanced for three days, in of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
TEAM moved below its 50-day moving average on June 11, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TEAM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 11, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TEAM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for TEAM entered a downward trend on June 24, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TEAM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TEAM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (55.556) is normal, around the industry mean (31.808). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (163.969). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.505) is also within normal values, averaging (2.732). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.804) is also within normal values, averaging (61.972).
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General Information
an enterprise software solutions provider
Industry PackagedSoftware
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