Atlassian (Nasdaq: TEAM) released earnings last week and the enterprise software company beat on its EPS estimate and revenue estimate, but the June profit forecast was disappointing to investors.
The disappointment caused the stock to gap lower on April 18 and the stock stabilized just above the $100 mark. If we connect the highs from December, February, and March, that could be the upper rail of a trend channel. The parallel lower rail would connect the low from November with the low from last week, if indeed this is a trend channel.
The pullback in the stock caused the daily oscillators to fall to their lowest levels since last October. They never actually reached oversold territory, but each stock can be different in that regard. The stochastic readings made a bullish crossover on April 24 and that could be a good sign.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal on Atlassian on April 23 and that signal showed a confidence level of 87%. Just as impressive as that confidence level is the fact that 77% of past predictions on the stock have been successful. This signal calls for a 4% move to the upside within the next month.
The fundamentals for Atlassian are among the best out there. The company scores a 99 on the EPS rating from Investor’s Business Daily and that is the highest score a company can get. It also receives an A in the SMR category which is the best a company can get for its sales growth, profit margin, and return on equity.
Atlassian has seen its earnings grow at an annual rate of 33% per year over the last three years while sales have grown at a rate of 39% during that same period. Atlassian’s composite score, which combines the fundamental ratings with the price performance, is a 99—once again the highest score a stock can get.
The Aroon Indicator for TEAM entered a downward trend on March 14, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 159 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 159 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 20, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TEAM as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TEAM turned negative on March 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TEAM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TEAM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TEAM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TEAM advanced for three days, in of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TEAM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TEAM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (55.249) is normal, around the industry mean (28.767). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (148.690). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.500) is also within normal values, averaging (2.798). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.085) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.788) is also within normal values, averaging (77.911).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an enterprise software solutions provider
Industry PackagedSoftware